Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24e2e051ff5b34e250938d378c65a678d9d87710190a611dbda31374cecabdac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over | 47c | 15,691$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,316.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 51c | 14,000$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 7,389$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.15 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Over | 69c | 7,277$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 37c | 6,284$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.16 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 5,842$4,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.18 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 14c | 5,738$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.21 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 4,509$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.24 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 51c | 3,953$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.73 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 32c | 3,680$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 49c | 3,493$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.84 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 49c | 2,679$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.5 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 51c | 2,361$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 51c | 2,275$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,929$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.35 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 1,697$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.32 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 51c | 1,501$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.32 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 29c | 1,426$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.48 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 49c | 1,190$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 50c | 1,152$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.96 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +93%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 819.95$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.88 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 706.93$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.4 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 65c | 698.4$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.66 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…83f8backed Under | 50c | 681.77$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 50c | 674.26$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.13 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 660.09$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.13 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 51c | 643.9$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.39 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 625.04$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.64 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 44c | 468.55$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.75 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 49c | 442$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.42 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…66bfbacked Under | 50c | 428$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…fa6ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 48c | 331.1$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 49c | 316.26$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 296.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 50c | 289.74$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 53c | 276$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Over | 50c | 211.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 200.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 193.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 193.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 50c | 140.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 74c | 126$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Over | 70c | 117$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 66c | 112.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 51c | 112.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over | 62c | 108.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 49c | 105.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Under | 50c | 100.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e9…553bbacked Under | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 49c | 96.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…84e9backed Under | 51c | 94.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…a0abbacked Under | 50c | 76.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Under | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Under | 41c | 72.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 50c | 70.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…bef3backed Under | 50c | 63.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 47c | 57.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 60c | 55.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 49c | 52.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 25c | 52.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…f4ffbacked Over | 43c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 49c | 44.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 66c | 44.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 46cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd33…6f1dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 50c | 39.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…eadfbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Over | 51c | 38.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5this page
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.