TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bologna FC 1909of SSC Napoli, Bologna FC 1909
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,383 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked SSC Napoli37c64,713$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0005438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1626…9e8dbacked SSC Napoli0c19,100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed SSC Napoli35c16,423$5,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,748.165752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Bologna FC 190965c16,368$10,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,762.226567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bologna FC 190967c12,232$8,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,979.72,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bologna FC 190963c12,213$7,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,560.61,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bologna FC 190963c7,042$4,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.5498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Bologna FC 190963c6,400$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3686165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed SSC Napoli34c5,704$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.2134239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Bologna FC 190963c4,800$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7764971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bologna FC 190963c4,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50068750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Bologna FC 190964c3,852$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.744146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Bologna FC 190963c2,800$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0366365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Bologna FC 190963c2,400$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8885862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Bologna FC 190963c2,131$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.0721548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Bologna FC 190963c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7404170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bologna FC 190963c1,711$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.236659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed SSC Napoli9c1,612$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2139740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Bologna FC 190963c1,600$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5926369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Bologna FC 190963c1,600$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5926170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed SSC Napoli36c1,475$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.9715946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Bologna FC 190963c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4446666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Bologna FC 190963c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4445666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Bologna FC 190963c1,100$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4074860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed SSC Napoli37c1,099$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.785939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Bologna FC 190963c1,040$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.86465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Bologna FC 190963c1,040$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.86070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Bologna FC 190964c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked SSC Napoli35c999.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.993046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed SSC Napoli35c973.68$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.5741954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Bologna FC 190965c871.39$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.219952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Bologna FC 190963c854.7$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.242369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bologna FC 190965c710.49$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6926040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Bologna FC 190963c658.43$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.836456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Bologna FC 190963c640$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.85367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Bologna FC 190963c624$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.886167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Bologna FC 190963c624$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.885867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Bologna FC 190963c544.13$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.331442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked SSC Napoli37c456.03$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.732347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed SSC Napoli36c444$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Bologna FC 190965c434.06$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4814752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed SSC Napoli16c400$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1420452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed SSC Napoli36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14414258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Bologna FC 190963c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1485168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Bologna FC 190963c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+53.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Bologna FC 190965c348$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.614651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2bd…57adbacked SSC Napoli37c324.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Bologna FC 190963c320$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.44669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Bologna FC 190963c320$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.44866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Bologna FC 190963c320$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.44472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed SSC Napoli40c315.34$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.614942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked SSC Napoli35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked SSC Napoli37c272.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Bologna FC 190964c256.28$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.065058%29 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Bologna FC 190965c256.21$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.673666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Bologna FC 190965c229.58$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9727453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed SSC Napoli36c205.45$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.321054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed SSC Napoli16c200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3114845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed SSC Napoli36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Bologna FC 190963c197$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.892378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Bologna FC 190964c187$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8365254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Bologna FC 190965c171.33$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.087762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Bologna FC 190963c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.25269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Bologna FC 190964c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.257846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Bologna FC 190963c154$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9842347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Bologna FC 190964c140.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.582365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Bologna FC 190966c136.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.43357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed SSC Napoli37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Bologna FC 190975c122$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.529862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Bologna FC 190963c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.415459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Bologna FC 190964c118.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.081866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Bologna FC 190968c114.26$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7411360.2%68 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Bologna FC 190966c113.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.643759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed SSC Napoli18c110$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.795721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+64.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09a5…0306backed Bologna FC 190965c110$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked SSC Napoli37c107.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010330.1%31 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Bologna FC 190965c104.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed SSC Napoli34c99.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.783762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Bologna FC 190969c92.1$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.859627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed SSC Napoli21c91.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0316219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed SSC Napoli20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bologna FC 190959c62.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.566950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed SSC Napoli33c60.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bologna FC 190964c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x850c…5f62backed SSC Napoli36c59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Bologna FC 190980c57.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed SSC Napoli36c56.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.262152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b81…e7a6backed SSC Napoli36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed SSC Napoli34c54.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked SSC Napoli37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Bologna FC 190964c52.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0711666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked SSC Napoli34c49.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.891546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b92…2241backed Bologna FC 190964c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe546…e571backed SSC Napoli33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d2…70a3backed SSC Napoli36c43.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cf…1025backed SSC Napoli36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed SSC Napoli37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Bologna FC 190965c40.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2310262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Bologna FC 190963c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.825556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Bologna FC 190963c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.818459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.