TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe546…e571

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tunis: Guy Den Ouden vs Dali Blanchbacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Amit Valesbacked Amit Vales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Istanbul: Alice Tubello vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Anastasia Gasanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+175%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+528.8%+$58.17
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.