CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7e0b93de59debfbee74a8bd2d9497f1a940286cf5182460f0db36f40aed78b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oxuji Esportsof Ursa, Oxuji Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Oxuji Esports | 33c | 16,243$5,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,825.59 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 69c | 9,000$6,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,164.99 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…e1fdbacked Oxuji Esports | 43c | 4,605$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.93 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Oxuji Esports | 33c | 2,500$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 48c | 2,277$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Oxuji Esports | 58c | 1,754$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.05 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Oxuji Esports | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Ursa | 67c | 1,450$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.5 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Ursa | 67c | 1,306$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.6 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Ursa | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 20%17 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Ursa | 66c | 867.01$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.26 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Ursa | 57c | 789.98$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.29 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Ursa | 48c | 758.69$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.17 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Oxuji Esports | 56c | 713.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.74 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Oxuji Esports | 49c | 699.97$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.17 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Ursa | 64c | 665$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.6 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Oxuji Esports | 37c | 656.88$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.57 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…c4bfbacked Ursa | 66c | 529.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…516cbacked Ursa | 54c | 503$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.62 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Oxuji Esports | 72c | 499.82$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.32 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Oxuji Esports | 54c | 471.73$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Ursa | 65c | 461.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Ursa | 67c | 434.82$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.08 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Ursa | 68c | 432.54$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.13 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 44c | 411.55$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.49 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked Ursa | 66c | 410.76$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.41 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ursa | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Ursa | 20c | 385.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ursa | 50c | 382.66$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…e59bbacked Oxuji Esports | 72c | 380.22$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Ursa | 66c | 329.96$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.77 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea91…2a69backed Ursa | 67c | 303$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.8wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Oxuji Esports | 39c | 300$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Ursa | 69c | 283.04$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Oxuji Esports | 32c | 277.97$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ursa | 44c | 268.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.34 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Oxuji Esports | 20c | 248$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.12 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…2bd0backed Ursa | 67c | 231.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ursa | 65c | 226$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Ursa | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Ursa | 67c | 212.57$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed Ursa | 75c | 210$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.54 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Ursa | 55c | 203.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oxuji Esports | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Ursa | 57c | 199.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.49 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Ursa | 66c | 195.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Ursa | 65c | 187.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Ursa | 64c | 184.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Ursa | 37c | 173.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Ursa | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Ursa | 66c | 168.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed Oxuji Esports | 32c | 160$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Ursa | 67c | 158.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Ursa | 47c | 147.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Oxuji Esports | 35c | 144.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Oxuji Esports | 33c | 144.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Oxuji Esports | 34c | 139.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ursa | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Ursa | 66c | 125$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Ursa | 55c | 122.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Ursa | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Oxuji Esports | 46c | 119$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Ursa | 50c | 119$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ursa | 52c | 117.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Ursa | 66c | 108.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Oxuji Esports | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Oxuji Esports | 52c | 101.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Oxuji Esports | 34c | 100.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Oxuji Esports | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Oxuji Esports | 40c | 99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Oxuji Esports | 34c | 97.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Ursa | 40c | 88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4812…8f34backed Ursa | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Oxuji Esports | 41c | 79.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Ursa | 64c | 72.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed Oxuji Esports | 38c | 69.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Ursa | 61c | 66.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Ursa | 37c | 62.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Ursa | 45c | 62.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Ursa | 69c | 61.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…0fbbbacked Ursa | 57c | 56.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…cf8bbacked Ursa | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Ursa | 42c | 51.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Ursa | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Ursa | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc8…030cbacked Oxuji Esports | 38c | 46.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Ursa | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Ursa | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Ursa | 65c | 43.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Oxuji Esports | 50c | 42.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Ursa | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Ursa | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Ursa | 66c | 37.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Oxuji Esports | 35c | 36.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Oxuji Esports | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Ursa | 52c | 34.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…d3cabacked Oxuji Esports | 60c | 33.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Ursa | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Ursa | 55c | 30.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 WinnerOxuji Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 WinnerOxuji Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.