TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea91…2a69

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$443.08
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$503.72
Trail Blazers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.65
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.78
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$390.85
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$179.5
Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$196
Max Christie: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$140.16
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+130.3%+$305.96
Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+163.7%+$327.34
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$174
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.8wins-0.43per pick53cpaid-83.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs eSuba (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffsbacked eSuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.64
Map Handicap: SHISHKA (-1.5) vs Endless Journey (+1.5)backed SHISHKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.47
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.59
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.61
Counter-Strike: m1x vs Dripmen (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Dripmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.01
Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs InControl (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffsbacked InControl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$90.64
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Acend (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$76.44
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$79.05
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$97.52
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$81.4
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$158
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$88.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$98.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering Herd (W)backed Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$111
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.