NBA · resolved market
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a7aa6edfc2f6aae703d06b939068a2a6bbbbca8f6af09ac0a697fb12efc81fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 55c | 7,213$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,969.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 44c | 3,933$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.19 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 56c | 3,200$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 45c | 3,200$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 57c | 2,874$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.91 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 63c | 901.93$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.2 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Yes | 51c | 629.1$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 36c | 609.3$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.3 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea91…2a69backed Yes | 43c | 540.76$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2cf9backed Yes | 42c | 500.59$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bc94backed No | 63c | 399.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…b0a2backed Yes | 43c | 321.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed No | 50c | 315.24$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 57c | 267.87$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…c5bebacked Yes | 38c | 263.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Yes | 38c | 236.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 53c | 203$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Yes | 37c | 189.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.84 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -14.1wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…c5c8backed Yes | 36c | 100.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed Yes | 50c | 81.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked Yes | 50c | 79.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed Yes | 50c | 78.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…9ff5backed Yes | 50c | 74.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…33f3backed Yes | 37c | 67.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes | 37c | 67.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…50e2backed Yes | 38c | 52.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 42c | 32.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Clippers vs. LakersLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.