TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Lakers, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$242,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$249,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers47c20,000$9,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,563.11,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers47c15,555$7,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,244.1487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers52c15,116$7,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,907.054,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers53c15,114$7,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,957.219,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Lakers54c13,558$7,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,389.1151844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3739…4af0backed Clippers47c13,356$6,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,078.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Clippers48c11,118$5,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,781.1259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88e0…289ebacked Lakers53c10,386$5,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,504.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers52c8,709$4,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,553.062,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fd…881bbacked Clippers47c8,405$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,454.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ecf…b582backed Lakers53c8,376$4,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcd…794ebacked Clippers47c7,701$3,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,081.53450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6129…0bdebacked Clippers47c7,552$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers45c7,405$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,049.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe3…7174backed Lakers53c6,445$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,415.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc1…8e6cbacked Clippers47c5,825$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,087.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe904…b213backed Lakers53c5,686$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x405f…b02bbacked Lakers53c5,047$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8878…9119backed Lakers53c4,810$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ed…c90ebacked Clippers47c4,532$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Lakers51c4,396$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.4645850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69cc…dc68backed Lakers53c4,379$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad95…ce80backed Clippers47c4,199$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.54580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Lakers53c3,970$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1135945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Lakers53c3,727$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.1529650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Lakers53c3,694$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.6937747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3029…aaf1backed Lakers53c3,653$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers48c3,582$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.724,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Lakers53c3,500$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.991,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910e…159abacked Lakers53c3,374$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.471,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers53c3,123$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.644,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Lakers55c3,020$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.4633146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.981,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e34…cffebacked Clippers47c2,913$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x778f…8259backed Lakers53c2,861$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…197dbacked Clippers47c2,858$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers52c2,727$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.1965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Clippers54c2,544$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.5476850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Clippers48c2,501$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.834645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Lakers54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Clippers51c2,376$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.942,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Lakers53c2,354$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.8119754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Lakers52c2,332$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.768041.3%33 W · 47 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x884b…736abacked Lakers53c2,148$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Clippers48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04012547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Clippers47c1,976$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.1635744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a4…5e3bbacked Lakers53c1,936$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Lakers52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9613142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11ad…119bbacked Clippers47c1,907$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+47.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4944…98c3backed Clippers47c1,825$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf87a…3f73backed Clippers47c1,703$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb80…d5b6backed Lakers53c1,610$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers45c1,575$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.823,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers67c1,553$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.161,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df6…572cbacked Lakers53c1,366$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers51c1,343$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68544352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4410…4135backed Clippers47c1,228$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8461…c6e4backed Lakers54c1,203$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Clippers50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Lakers53c1,188$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.6316042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f8…4a8fbacked Clippers52c1,158$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5522100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Clippers47c1,156$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.5417348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Lakers53c1,143$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.792,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Lakers54c1,107$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59862546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc857…9e70backed Clippers48c1,033$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.571369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+61.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Clippers48c1,016$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.341,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Clippers53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.413155%72 W · 59 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers45c839$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.451,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Lakers54c833.33$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45035749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers53c772.06$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.332,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…067abacked Lakers53c772$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers47c735.54$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.093,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3a…9792backed Lakers53c723$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Lakers52c710$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Lakers54c629.63$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers47c599.98$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9952844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers48c586.29$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Clippers48c562.5$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.520650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Lakers50c473.06$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9728537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Clippers44c460$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.615154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Clippers53c446.3$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6547354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers45c437.57$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers48c394$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Clippers52c349.99$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9921743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Lakers51c333.71$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0212051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Clippers50c318.41$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4123847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Clippers49c306$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5366646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Clippers45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Lakers53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Lakers54c278$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1233360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Lakers53c273.58$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers53c266.51$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.252,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Lakers53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lakers53c245.77$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.333,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Clippers49c242.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5313644.1%60 W · 76 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Clippers43c240$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Lakers57c228.26$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9121950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe86…6763backed Clippers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3310243.1%44 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…570cbacked Clippers52c207.54$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6213240.2%53 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.