TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,759 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39cb…46e8backed Yes40c2,245$898 inLost-$8983246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No60c1,714$1,028 inWon+$685.4865750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No60c1,097$659 inWon+$4381,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked No62c799.99$496 inWon+$3046669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes38c464.74$176 inLost-$17671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Yes40c375.9$150 inLost-$1503141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed Yes38c349.39$133 inLost-$1331717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed No63c270.99$171 inWon+$100.2716361.3%100 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ebd…21cdbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4258…b33fbacked Yes39c258.2$100 inLost-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No62c195.11$121 inWon+$74.184,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb94d…9b4dbacked Yes39c128.77$50 inLost-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No62c91.86$57 inWon+$34.8283158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Yes40c69.3$28 inLost-$27.727346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes38c65.79$25 inLost-$2540048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed No62c65.79$41 inWon+$256953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Yes40c62.56$25 inLost-$2514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed No50c58.72$29 inWon+$29.631,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99f…dd82backed Yes51c50.01$25 inLost-$25.261145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No61c42.77$26 inWon+$16.6392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Yes51c27.11$14 inLost-$13.8338048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No49c22.89$11 inWon+$11.681,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No65c20$13 inWon+$760267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.