NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1908cee00c79e8a94ecb07b627b5f4dc8545e80c3d4f37e6b98809ba7ff1ffe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 63,004$28,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,536.46 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 34,489$18,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,695.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 54c | 16,853$9,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,752.38 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 56c | 6,353$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 51c | 6,183$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.85 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 3,131$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 63c | 2,014$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.32 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 1,162$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 1,057$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 1,032$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.48 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 35c | 1,021$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 51c | 989.99$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.1 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 27c | 840.84$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.21 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 56c | 793.84$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.53 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 596$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.12 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 441.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.19 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 41c | 334.73$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Over | 54c | 277.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 274.19$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 57c | 218.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 212.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Over | 54c | 184.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 132.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 47c | 113.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 40c | 96.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 27c | 95.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 57c | 87.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 87.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…6ef3backed Over | 59c | 84.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 82.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…5324backed Over | 55c | 72.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Over | 57c | 71.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 45c | 58.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 41c | 53.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 51.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Under | 46c | 50.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 49.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Over | 59c | 42.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over | 65c | 36.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…2f88backed Over | 56c | 34.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…1c78backed Over | 60c | 33.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 50c | 24.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 56c | 22.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 57c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 56c | 20.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 56c | 20.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49cb…dd4dbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Over | 53c | 19.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Clippers vs. LakersLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.