TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5442…2f88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT4763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.32
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.35
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$43.29
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+39.2%+$29.22
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$34.25
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$43.87
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+43.6%+$135.97
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$20.89
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48.75
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48.75
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$97.5
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.8%+$217.55
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$96.04
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$43.87
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.85
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$434.36
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+32%+$66.89
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.1%+$153.69
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$15.62
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State Seminoles vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.18
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Dons: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$58.5
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Donsbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.55
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$74.47
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24.37
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+129.9%+$25.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+30.2%+$36.19
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+64%+$98.4
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+64.4%+$156.34
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25.2%+$37.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick63cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-70.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+66.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$65.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.6
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Maple Leafs vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+267.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+267.6%+$32.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+61.8%+$44.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.