Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1c838071487fa066cebceaebf791e42a6aa251455d1b6db0adc695ff39e1f69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Joblife
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x671f…328cbacked Joblife | 38c | 58,000$22,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,023 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Galions | 62c | 57,545$35,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,867.1 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Joblife | 24c | 2,127$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.6 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Galions | 66c | 1,642$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.5 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Galions | 70c | 1,489$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.35 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Galions | 72c | 1,463$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.16 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Galions | 71c | 1,057$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.76 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Joblife | 26c | 790.86$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.44 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Joblife | 35c | 592$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.16 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Joblife | 34c | 587.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Joblife | 32c | 587.42$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.97 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Joblife | 8c | 567.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked Galions | 74c | 538.75$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Joblife | 39c | 390$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Galions | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Galions | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Joblife | 34c | 297.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Galions | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…37ddbacked Joblife | 24c | 251.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Joblife | 33c | 242.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Joblife | 33c | 212.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Galions | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked Joblife | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Galions | 78c | 189.84$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galions | 74c | 163.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…7298backed Galions | 68c | 153.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Joblife | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Galions | 68c | 148.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…da59backed Joblife | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Galions | 79c | 131.95$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Joblife | 27c | 110.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 289 | 23.5%68 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…aaf5backed Joblife | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Galions | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Galions | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed Joblife | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e86…2db2backed Joblife | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 246 | 29.7%73 W · 173 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Joblife | 28c | 93.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Joblife | 19c | 90.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Galions | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Galions | 68c | 83.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10a…b83bbacked Galions | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Galions | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Joblife | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Joblife | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Galions | 68c | 57.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Joblife | 33c | 53.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Galions | 67c | 52.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Joblife | 30c | 50.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Joblife | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Joblife | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Joblife | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…0037backed Galions | 67c | 45.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galions | 69c | 42.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…bda8backed Joblife | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c15…155ebacked Galions | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…2f88backed Galions | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Galions | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Galions | 70c | 21.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Galions | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 577 | 72.3%417 W · 160 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Galions | 79c | 19.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…d19dbacked Galions | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.