TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf26b…f3b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
526
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: UFC, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT28923.5%68 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 289 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+155.6%+$143.14
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$55.83
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+217.2%+$87.93
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+338.8%+$82.3
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.06
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$35.39
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+667%+$113.39
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+202.7%+$41.78
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+246.4%+$53.64
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 289 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10426.9%28 W · 76 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.5
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.98
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.77
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+141.4%+$49.32
Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.61
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$48.4
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46.15
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$27.53
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$48.99
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+122.2%+$50.72
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5450%27 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jamall Emmers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.39
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Nasrat Haqparast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Stan Dorsainvil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+161.5%+$53.3
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Wes Schultz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.4
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$38.21
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Valter Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Damian Rzepecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Christian Leroy Duncan win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.63
UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ezra Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.24
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.62
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Malcolm Wellmaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bernardo Sopaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.27
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Khaos Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.31
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jacqueline Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Cody Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.11
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jose Miguel Delgado win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Harry Hardwick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+286.4%+$77.33
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Aklibacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$30.64
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$25.5
Transylvania Open: Miriam Bulgaru vs Olga Danilovicbacked Bulgaru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.09
Bulgaru vs. Danilovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25.64
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Cilic vs. Ruud: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$73.87
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Novak Djokovicbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Australian Open Men's: Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Women's: Linda Noskova vs Xinyu Wangbacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+376.2%+$124.14
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Australian Open Men's: Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilicbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$39.77
Australian Open Men's: Francesco Maestrelli vs Novak Djokovicbacked Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+334.8%+$66.96
ASB Classic: Eliot Spizzirri vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.1%+$26.71
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. Anadolu Efesbacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Anadolu Efes vs. Partizanbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Fenerbahce vs. Partizanbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50.46
Anadolu Efes vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$37.6
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. BC Dubaibacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Saski Baskonia vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Monaco vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Olimpia Milano vs. Partizanbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$68.02
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Barcelonabacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Virtus Bologna vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+106.5%+$97.72
Partizan vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+403.4%+$266.98
Fenerbahce vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$76.77
Real Madrid vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$112.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$143.48
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Partizanbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+284.1%+$199.69
Monaco vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+212%+$142.18
Real Madrid vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$47.9
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+177.8%+$53.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.51
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+64.2%+$32.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.