Euroleague · resolved market
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. BC Dubai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73376027a4af9cfe54a06ff89a872a99b2e6ede00514b8800a73ca72c235c2d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KK Crvena Zvezdaof KK Crvena Zvezda, BC Dubai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 78c | 2,543$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.99 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed BC Dubai | 30c | 1,984$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.17 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed BC Dubai | 20c | 1,475$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.39 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 70c | 1,424$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.63 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ace…95a9backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 70c | 900$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed BC Dubai | 18c | 870.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 70c | 791.93$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…bacfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 71c | 705.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed BC Dubai | 32c | 600.3$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked BC Dubai | 29c | 506.33$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed BC Dubai | 23c | 387.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed BC Dubai | 30c | 235$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed BC Dubai | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked BC Dubai | 7c | 191.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 79c | 174.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed BC Dubai | 31c | 113.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked BC Dubai | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked BC Dubai | 30c | 98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 79c | 95.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked BC Dubai | 31c | 88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…074abacked BC Dubai | 22c | 78.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed BC Dubai | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed BC Dubai | 19c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked BC Dubai | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed BC Dubai | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked BC Dubai | 37c | 46.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 70c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed BC Dubai | 31c | 39.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 65c | 23.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.