Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79c18583b2a2360dbc54117efc9b5174912306a55adadafd89fcc9682d225cd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darderiof Khachanov, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Khachanov | 79c | 70,938$56,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,147.03 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Darderi | 45c | 33,284$14,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,382.2 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Darderi | 19c | 19,986$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,188.64 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Khachanov | 46c | 18,155$8,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,390.47 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Darderi | 21c | 16,445$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,996.21 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Khachanov | 77c | 13,428$10,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,294.11 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Khachanov | 72c | 7,720$5,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,571.78 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Darderi | 32c | 6,792$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.96 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Darderi | 21c | 6,391$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,054.99 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Khachanov | 74c | 5,555$4,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,110.7 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Darderi | 21c | 5,400$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked Darderi | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Khachanov | 57c | 4,577$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Darderi | 60c | 4,408$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.84 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Khachanov | 80c | 4,133$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.46 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Khachanov | 78c | 3,665$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.82 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Darderi | 39c | 3,559$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.66 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Darderi | 32c | 3,396$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.59 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Khachanov | 64c | 3,386$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.4 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…7adebacked Darderi | 46c | 3,381$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Khachanov | 75c | 3,131$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.15 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Darderi | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Darderi | 20c | 2,876$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.47 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Darderi | 23c | 2,675$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.64 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Darderi | 53c | 2,590$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.71 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Khachanov | 56c | 2,500$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.93 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Darderi | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.95 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Darderi | 58c | 2,136$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.33 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Darderi | 42c | 2,017$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.59 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Darderi | 48c | 1,994$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.48 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Khachanov | 42c | 1,821$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.47 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Darderi | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Darderi | 26c | 1,470$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.2 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Darderi | 61c | 1,290$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.96 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Darderi | 20c | 1,249$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.24 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Khachanov | 79c | 1,248$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.68 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Darderi | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.47 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Darderi | 21c | 1,062$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.98 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Khachanov | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Darderi | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Darderi | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Darderi | 21c | 963$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Darderi | 40c | 883.03$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.36 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Darderi | 38c | 814.98$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.44 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Darderi | 27c | 787.22$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.34 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Khachanov | 77c | 711$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked Khachanov | 29c | 699.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Darderi | 29c | 694.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.32 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Khachanov | 80c | 608.75$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…7dcebacked Darderi | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.25per pick | 33cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Darderi | 64c | 569.81$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.3 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…ba15backed Khachanov | 32c | 514.61$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Khachanov | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Khachanov | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4735…d4ebbacked Darderi | 21c | 495.71$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…cc0abacked Darderi | 21c | 479$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Darderi | 42c | 473.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.79 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Khachanov | 76c | 462$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.34 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Khachanov | 79c | 444$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.76 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Darderi | 50c | 441.58$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.54 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Darderi | 25c | 418.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.86 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Khachanov | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Darderi | 22c | 373.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.29 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Darderi | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Khachanov | 79c | 349.99$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.1 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed Khachanov | 27c | 341.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Darderi | 23c | 328$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed Khachanov | 71c | 310.36$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Khachanov | 16c | 306.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Darderi | 43c | 303.03$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.9 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Darderi | 20c | 300$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Darderi | 25c | 294.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.07 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Darderi | 21c | 285$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.15 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Khachanov | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Khachanov | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Khachanov | 51c | 239.41$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…9eb5backed Darderi | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Darderi | 23c | 235.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d1…40c3backed Khachanov | 63c | 234.7$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.65 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Darderi | 23c | 220$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Darderi | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…04f4backed Darderi | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…a5cebacked Khachanov | 75c | 186.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…59ecbacked Darderi | 64c | 175.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Darderi | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Darderi | 44c | 157.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Darderi | 21c | 157.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Darderi | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…b2b0backed Khachanov | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Khachanov | 32c | 149.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…e904backed Darderi | 80c | 144$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Darderi | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Darderi | 23c | 141$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Khachanov | 73c | 140.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Darderi | 21c | 140$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Darderi | 21c | 139.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.59 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Khachanov | 29c | 138.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…8b6cbacked Darderi | 22c | 133.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.77 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Khachanov | 75c | 132$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…bbe8backed Khachanov | 76c | 131.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderithis page
- Khachanov vs. Darderi: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Khachanov vs. Darderi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs DarderiDarderi won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)Darderi won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-2.5) vs Darderi (+2.5)Darderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.