TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x935b…a5ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST4551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marcos Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dallas Open: Marin Cilic vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rotterdam Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Jaume Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31.45
Dallas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Mattia Belluccibacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Rotterdam Open: Valentin Royer vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Dammbacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Open Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Luca Nardibacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$73.26
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$80.85
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$21.04
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$200.15
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$141
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$63
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$53.16
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+118.3%+$56.78
Tien vs. Borges: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$53.03
Australian Open Men's: Rinky Hijikata vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+49.7%+$99.47
Khachanov vs. Basavareddy: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Comesana (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$21.74
Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$62.54
Australian Open Men's: James Duckworth vs Dino Prizmicbacked Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+415.3%+$83.07
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.