Tennis · resolved market
Tien vs. Borges: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec93da35ee2b95642426b1e7d395697f470910af71b8e3915b59a0785dc08b30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under 3.5 | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 3.5 | 33c | 818.88$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.27 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Over 3.5 | 61c | 604.57$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.79 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under 3.5 | 34c | 436.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.69 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Over 3.5 | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 304.41$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.61 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under 3.5 | 37c | 214.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.8 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…5bc2backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7800…6ddbbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 153.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…a5cebacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 119.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Under 3.5 | 36c | 81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Over 3.5 | 59c | 77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 74.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over 3.5 | 61c | 49.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Under 3.5 | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over 3.5 | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Under 3.5 | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Over 3.5 | 60c | 33.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 16.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 308 | 60.1%185 W · 123 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tien vs. Borges: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Australian Open Men's: Learner Tien vs Nuno BorgesTien won
- Set 1 Winner: Tien vs BorgesTien won
- Tien vs. Borges: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Tien vs. Borges: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Tien vs. Borges: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.