TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Learner Tien vs Nuno Borges

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tienof Tien, Borges
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,862 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Tien66c21,990$14,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,476.7127063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x779a…ca34backed Borges34c15,420$5,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,188.714060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Borges24c8,849$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.552,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Borges32c7,286$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.5576140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Tien67c5,940$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.185228.8%15 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Borges33c5,152$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70018237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Borges33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Tien66c4,708$3,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.8122242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Tien65c4,455$2,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.745444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Borges34c3,626$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23326045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7555…49d2backed Tien67c3,528$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Borges40c3,213$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.1811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Borges31c3,037$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.8618047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Borges33c2,445$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.932,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Tien68c2,318$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.8164540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tien62c2,245$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.8665647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Borges58c2,182$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27544163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Tien68c1,850$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.837444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Borges34c1,800$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6127736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Tien67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49520653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Borges33c1,476$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.85457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1021…e648backed Tien69c1,439$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.241631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tien67c1,383$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.913,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…b52cbacked Borges36c1,377$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Borges34c1,338$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.812,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Tien64c1,279$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.4893055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Borges34c1,273$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.8231332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Borges34c1,269$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.461,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Tien68c1,250$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40045457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Borges55c1,112$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.663247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Tien45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.998825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Borges38c1,098$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.392,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e07…6a8ebacked Tien67c1,073$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.139144%40 W · 51 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Borges33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33011650.9%59 W · 57 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Tien67c984.16$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.7738348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Tien64c979.98$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.995860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Borges34c964.2$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.8324448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadb4…3214backed Tien66c955$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.72326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Tien57c806.51$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.618551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Borges34c753.83$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.261,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Tien68c739.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.091,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Borges34c735.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0d…081bbacked Tien58c702.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tien61c691.72$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.626,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb13…8bb4backed Tien62c653.67$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.221963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Borges34c648$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.3278152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Borges32c634.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20054547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Borges33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Tien68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.247565.3%49 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Borges34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Borges39c562.53$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22288446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe225…6d19backed Borges13c537.11$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.271127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Borges30c536.78$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.128,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Tien46c533.24$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.1240141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Tien60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005867.2%39 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Borges34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Borges33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16511353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Tien67c452.61$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2318863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Tien67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.769955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Tien51c440.38$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2815648.7%76 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Borges42c434.03$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.877,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Borges33c402.06$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6853058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Tien67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13220257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa995…3d50backed Tien67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.132751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Tien67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1312752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Tien68c350$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1129744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Borges8c350$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2912755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Borges34c327.22$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7410247.1%48 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tien69c326.75$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.342,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Tien54c324.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.322,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Borges18c322.1$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6130131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Tien65c320.9$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3247639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Borges29c309.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Tien62c304.8$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8265651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d8…58b5backed Borges34c300.57$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.231861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ba…302bbacked Borges34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Borges34c289.73$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.511,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Borges28c269$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1319023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Borges34c264.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Borges7c259.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.112,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Borges36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9012445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f52…93e4backed Borges33c249.24$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Borges24c244.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.259348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc3…6112backed Borges35c226.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb24f…3432backed Tien54c214.25$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.62785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Tien66c201.92$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8915363.4%97 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Tien43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11416133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Borges34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Borges42c192.71$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.93930.8%12 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Borges34c191$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.018445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Tien67c186.9$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3128762.4%179 W · 108 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x788d…99bbbacked Borges55c182.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Borges33c181.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Tien69c180.3$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8914940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…17c4backed Tien67c179.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+58.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Borges34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Tien68c175$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5651849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6456…60e2backed Borges32c160$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.64010%4 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-80%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Tien65c154.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.091,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f78…bbe8backed Tien65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.855450%27 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.