TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e07…6a8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT9144%40 W · 51 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$375.16
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Keninbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$89.1
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakinabacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.6
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$493
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$66.02
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Wimbledon ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovicbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+322.6%+$558.03
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Wimbledon ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$41.54
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Nottingham Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.19
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$147.69
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$60.42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$635
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$349
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$251
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Viktorija Golubic vs Mirra Andreevabacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.34
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$64.49
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,844.08
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150.95
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+128.1%+$320.92
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$32.14
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.4%+$101.65
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$118.03
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+48.8%+$499.62
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,016.44
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$399.21
Linea airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$149
zkSync airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$9.41
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick64cpaid+49%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$41.33
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$112.19
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$415.8
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$83
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$63
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$120.6
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$57.54
Russia vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$29.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Germany win Group A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2024, EDT+25%+$10.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.52
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$481.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$47.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$197.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,732Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$483.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.