Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f2c55d95d9dc660ce2d9bd118b9ca8400da4692b33bb2e0eb0d6fa479b4a2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francisco Cerundoloof Francisco Cerundolo, Tommy Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,171,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,458,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,171,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 462 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Francisco Cerundolo | 29c | 216,508$61,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,778.85 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tommy Paul | 67c | 60,915$41,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,105.83 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Tommy Paul | 67c | 33,691$22,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,450 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 40c | 29,100$11,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,406 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Tommy Paul | 60c | 26,777$16,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,062.65 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tommy Paul | 65c | 26,626$17,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,362.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Tommy Paul | 66c | 25,622$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.98 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Francisco Cerundolo | 53c | 20,000$10,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,319.53 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tommy Paul | 73c | 19,193$14,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,077.67 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Francisco Cerundolo | 15c | 13,458$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,503 | 248 | 41.5%103 W · 145 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Tommy Paul | 66c | 13,375$8,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,770.74 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tommy Paul | 36c | 13,217$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.6 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tommy Paul | 65c | 12,818$8,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,303.16 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 49c | 12,500$6,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,414.79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Tommy Paul | 36c | 11,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Tommy Paul | 63c | 10,523$6,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,615.15 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Tommy Paul | 65c | 9,966$6,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,507.81 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Tommy Paul | 66c | 8,888$5,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,866.01 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 45c | 6,871$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.36 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 38c | 6,523$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.01 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Francisco Cerundolo | 31c | 6,452$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,451.61 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 47c | 6,358$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.68 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Francisco Cerundolo | 49c | 5,963$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.18 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Tommy Paul | 34c | 5,557$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Tommy Paul | 80c | 5,340$4,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,251.52 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Francisco Cerundolo | 42c | 4,711$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.38 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Tommy Paul | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Tommy Paul | 66c | 4,599$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.1 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Tommy Paul | 70c | 4,459$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.3 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Francisco Cerundolo | 32c | 3,892$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.35 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Tommy Paul | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…f577backed Francisco Cerundolo | 47c | 3,809$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.65 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Tommy Paul | 52c | 3,769$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.93 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…f7dabacked Tommy Paul | 50c | 3,753$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…1090backed Francisco Cerundolo | 35c | 3,571$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.46 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Francisco Cerundolo | 23c | 3,523$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.45 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Francisco Cerundolo | 34c | 3,500$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.98 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 34c | 3,496$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.46 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Francisco Cerundolo | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Francisco Cerundolo | 57c | 3,332$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.05 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Tommy Paul | 62c | 3,116$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.17 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 33c | 3,059$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.85 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Francisco Cerundolo | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.3 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Francisco Cerundolo | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Francisco Cerundolo | 34c | 2,994$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Tommy Paul | 66c | 2,936$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.76 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Tommy Paul | 63c | 2,728$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.52 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Tommy Paul | 73c | 2,728$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.15 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tommy Paul | 66c | 2,615$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.22 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Francisco Cerundolo | 42c | 2,477$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.92 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Francisco Cerundolo | 49c | 2,449$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.77 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Tommy Paul | 64c | 2,393$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.98 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Tommy Paul | 58c | 2,170$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.8 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 19c | 2,110$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.39 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tommy Paul | 68c | 2,000$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.07 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…d537backed Francisco Cerundolo | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e3…2846backed Tommy Paul | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tommy Paul | 64c | 1,918$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.38 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Tommy Paul | 61c | 1,903$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.91 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Tommy Paul | 59c | 1,833$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.72 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Tommy Paul | 67c | 1,822$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.94 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Francisco Cerundolo | 64c | 1,813$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.5 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 20c | 1,728$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.7 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Tommy Paul | 79c | 1,554$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.21 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 28c | 1,520$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.21 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francisco Cerundolo | 50c | 1,519$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Tommy Paul | 66c | 1,499$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Tommy Paul | 67c | 1,499$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.8 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tommy Paul | 19c | 1,437$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked Tommy Paul | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8569…393dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 40c | 1,380$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0bd9backed Tommy Paul | 72c | 1,376$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Francisco Cerundolo | 32c | 1,352$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.47 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…47b5backed Francisco Cerundolo | 34c | 1,327$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Tommy Paul | 66c | 1,291$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.61 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Francisco Cerundolo | 19c | 1,289$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.26 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8922backed Francisco Cerundolo | 15c | 1,253$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Tommy Paul | 11c | 1,244$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Francisco Cerundolo | 49c | 1,200$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.98 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Tommy Paul | 64c | 1,189$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.68 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 20c | 1,186$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.64 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tommy Paul | 51c | 1,181$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.03 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Tommy Paul | 52c | 1,150$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Francisco Cerundolo | 67c | 1,109$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.58 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc751…957cbacked Tommy Paul | 53c | 1,101$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Tommy Paul | 55c | 1,076$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.05 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Francisco Cerundolo | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Francisco Cerundolo | 15c | 1,033$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.33 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Francisco Cerundolo | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Tommy Paul | 53c | 1,010$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.8 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Tommy Paul | 11c | 1,007$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.32 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tommy Paul | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 33c | 999.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.71 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…3c12backed Francisco Cerundolo | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.99 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…a427backed Tommy Paul | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Tommy Paul | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Francisco Cerundolo | 33c | 999.96$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.98 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulthis page
- Cerundolo vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Cerundolo vs. Paul: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Francisco Cerundolo vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs PaulPaul won
- Set 2 Winner: Cerundolo vs PaulCerundolo won
- Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)Cerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.