TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde0f…47b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+49.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$151.97
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$142.48
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$440
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$330
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.5
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$55.9
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.04
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$24.8
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+122.2%+$82.5
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+132.6%+$30.78
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.18
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+126.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$875.82
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$444
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$46.8
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$240
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.04
Predators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$36.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$40.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.