NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f4e6bbb540d399d875cc70d5251e7b1fd32f32e886295d866dd93bbd222da6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,885,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,024,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,885,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,975 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 43c | 742,107$321,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321,728.02 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 1c | 326,522$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.04 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Rockets | 56c | 258,928$144,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,928.14 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…858dbacked Rockets | 57c | 150,000$85,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,099.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Rockets | 57c | 141,000$79,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,129.95 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Rockets | 57c | 125,000$70,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,208.51 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Rockets | 57c | 123,742$70,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,354.89 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 46c | 120,401$54,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,827.31 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 0c | 55,334$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Magic | 39c | 54,000$20,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,880 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 57c | 51,431$29,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,125.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic | 0c | 48,772$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 53c | 47,810$25,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,529.54 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Magic | 60c | 45,756$27,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,411.6 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 54c | 43,267$23,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,111.96 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Rockets | 56c | 43,163$24,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,891.55 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Rockets | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,200 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 44c | 34,204$14,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,925.61 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Magic | 43c | 30,300$13,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,029.01 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Rockets | 57c | 30,299$17,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,028.63 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 57c | 29,643$16,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,746.7 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Magic | 42c | 29,560$12,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,415.57 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets | 57c | 29,153$16,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,535.79 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 56c | 29,126$16,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,760.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…6d18backed Rockets | 57c | 29,000$16,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,353.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Rockets | 57c | 28,940$16,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,444.37 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Magic | 43c | 26,398$11,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,421.02 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Magic | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Magic | 7c | 23,223$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.77 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Magic | 71c | 21,969$15,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,692.19 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 50c | 20,374$10,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,247.28 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…c83bbacked Rockets | 57c | 20,272$11,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,717.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Magic | 43c | 19,848$8,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,534.83 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Magic | 44c | 18,523$8,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,150 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 28c | 18,467$5,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,381.62 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…2583backed Magic | 43c | 15,861$6,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,820.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Magic | 43c | 15,840$6,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,811.2 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Magic | 0c | 15,555$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Magic | 45c | 15,315$6,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,823.64 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 57c | 13,514$7,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,733.94 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Magic | 1c | 12,897$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 57c | 12,300$7,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,289 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Rockets | 78c | 11,784$9,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.05 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Rockets | 30c | 11,667$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,166.67 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Magic | 42c | 11,401$4,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,788.43 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Magic | 43c | 11,000$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,689.94 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 59c | 10,793$6,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,330.97 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Magic | 44c | 10,350$4,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,597.37 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Magic | 44c | 10,235$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Magic | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Rockets | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Magic | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Magic | 63c | 9,809$6,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,179.64 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Rockets | 41c | 9,752$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,802.43 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Rockets | 57c | 9,649$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,149.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Rockets | 52c | 9,600$4,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,608 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Magic | 1c | 9,311$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rockets | 56c | 9,074$5,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032.03 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 43c | 8,714$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,978.31 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Magic | 43c | 8,605$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.32 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Rockets | 59c | 8,571$5,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.29 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Rockets | 40c | 8,000$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 48c | 7,981$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.43 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Magic | 42c | 7,910$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.23 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 57c | 7,725$4,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,321.75 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Rockets | 59c | 7,145$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.62 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…d1e3backed Magic | 50c | 7,122$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.97 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Rockets | 57c | 7,088$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.71 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Magic | 43c | 7,032$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Rockets | 57c | 6,996$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.24 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Rockets | 56c | 6,875$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.86 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Magic | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…d2b5backed Rockets | 57c | 6,789$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.15 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 0c | 6,762$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Rockets | 57c | 6,719$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.3 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Rockets | 57c | 6,234$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.58 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 56c | 5,788$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.03 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Rockets | 48c | 5,695$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.2 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Magic | 44c | 5,555$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.2 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Magic | 43c | 5,537$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.91 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Magic | 37c | 5,443$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.71 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Magic | 44c | 5,227$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…c23ebacked Rockets | 57c | 5,200$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Rockets | 59c | 5,198$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.07 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Magic | 43c | 5,194$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.42 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…3b1dbacked Magic | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Magic | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…0d81backed Magic | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…1351backed Magic | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Magic | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.99 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…bd44backed Rockets | 57c | 4,800$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Rockets | 33c | 4,747$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.58 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Magic | 43c | 4,744$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.94 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Magic | 41c | 4,709$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.67 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…6ec4backed Rockets | 52c | 4,700$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…51c8backed Magic | 48c | 4,690$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3795…9548backed Magic | 48c | 4,690$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Magicthis page
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Rockets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Rockets vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.