TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Magic: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,334 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over47c2,383$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.9665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over50c2,093$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.743,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under53c2,017$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.8116547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c1,681$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c1,150$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.73,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under52c1,077$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56037747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under51c863.86$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.3216139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c841.24$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.276,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over48c729.17$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.178751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Under51c632.01$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.3315650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.241,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa331…2857backed Under50c526$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ec0…153bbacked Over50c516$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0abc…34bcbacked Under50c514$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fbd…4118backed Over50c510$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c03…d2a6backed Under50c508$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff09…9a58backed Under50c504$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a54…ddf3backed Under50c502$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Under6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4257…d201backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38a…bc03backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d8e…e958backed Under50c498$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade5…4d0fbacked Under50c496$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…891ebacked Over50c495$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1b4…998bbacked Over50c495$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc852…1012backed Over50c494$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5366…1671backed Under50c494$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8a…2b96backed Over50c494$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0aa…ea99backed Over50c494$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf85…c54abacked Over50c492$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3d2…6673backed Over50c490$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…16acbacked Under50c490$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5d…4e7bbacked Over50c490$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6422…1e7cbacked Over50c490$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1736…accbbacked Over50c488$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9668…2d5cbacked Over50c488$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4077…4e01backed Over50c488$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c5…b441backed Under50c486$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb3…e1ccbacked Over50c486$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2435100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4369…38abbacked Over50c486$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f54…e256backed Under50c486$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cab…5d7ebacked Over50c486$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec4…12c6backed Under50c486$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9163…7a5abacked Under50c486$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e76…5339backed Over50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd171…b490backed Under50c484$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd097…2d87backed Under50c482$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49e1…f063backed Over50c481$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7377…ce6dbacked Over50c480$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e0…67c9backed Under50c478$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab3…cfa3backed Over50c478$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2482…7d1bbacked Under50c478$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8d…c1d3backed Under50c476$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc572…284ebacked Under50c476$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x102c…d862backed Over50c476$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af2…5b49backed Over50c476$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd3…a3debacked Under50c472$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf506…c730backed Under50c472$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d6…4f52backed Under50c470$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd285…646fbacked Over50c470$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4b5…421abacked Under50c470$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f07…d634backed Under50c468$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd72…42d0backed Under50c468$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d1a…1d8cbacked Under50c468$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadd1…aa2bbacked Over50c468$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd012…3242backed Over50c466$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaa5…78b3backed Under50c463$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9bb…f8f8backed Over50c462$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…779abacked Over50c462$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6194…9235backed Under50c462$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x800d…4736backed Over50c460$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d41…0fb5backed Over50c458$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f71…0965backed Over50c456$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f7…e49abacked Over50c456$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14d0…0145backed Under50c454$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66bf…ed34backed Over50c452$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76fc…8843backed Over50c452$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…b916backed Over50c450$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2254100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6530…7754backed Over50c450$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8605…75e5backed Under50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bb…0a88backed Under50c448$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x393e…b78ebacked Under50c446$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc79b…f1e5backed Under50c444$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd24…b6b2backed Under50c444$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3683…fe56backed Under50c444$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…c9abbacked Over50c443$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fa…3919backed Over50c443$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54d9…ff54backed Under50c442$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9728…ed0abacked Under50c442$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfedf…be8dbacked Over50c442$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c42…3307backed Under50c440$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e84…87b5backed Under50c440$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…0eebbacked Over50c438$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc157…0495backed Under50c436$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x572c…05a7backed Under50c434$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4275…c94cbacked Over50c432$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8582…b97bbacked Over50c431$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.