NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa17da70d7f29a16999c2864cc7fa03e84db8d16c4f8ea7130a61f547dce04b75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 49c | 140,625$69,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,456.1 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Rockets | 51c | 58,883$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,883.02 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 50c | 56,347$28,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,173.58 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 51c | 30,827$15,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,105.25 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Rockets | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Rockets | 50c | 19,639$9,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,785.78 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets | 50c | 15,050$7,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,525 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 48c | 14,151$6,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,287.65 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Rockets | 51c | 10,000$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.99 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Magic | 50c | 6,320$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 50c | 6,268$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Rockets | 49c | 6,119$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.3 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 48c | 6,000$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.96 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 49c | 4,780$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.93 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Rockets | 50c | 4,352$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.86 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 50c | 4,327$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.7 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 51c | 3,410$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.46 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 49c | 3,257$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.02 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 50c | 2,721$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.46 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 59c | 2,716$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Magic | 49c | 2,580$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.81 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Rockets | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Rockets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Magic | 50c | 1,992$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Rockets | 51c | 1,894$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.16 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 50c | 1,835$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 50c | 1,765$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.51 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,742$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 49c | 1,713$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.46 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Magic | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,367$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.35 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Magic | 36c | 1,222$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.14 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Magic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Magic | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Rockets | 48c | 979.9$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.55 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Rockets | 49c | 875$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.25 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Magic | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic | 50c | 799.99$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.66 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Magic | 49c | 645.02$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.06 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Magic | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Magic | 49c | 599.87$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.94 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 49c | 536.14$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b07…9d4cbacked Rockets | 50c | 521$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…9ae2backed Rockets | 50c | 515$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…ada2backed Rockets | 50c | 513$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Magic | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fe…7431backed Rockets | 50c | 498$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…546cbacked Magic | 50c | 494$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f50…d3c2backed Rockets | 50c | 490$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Magic | 51c | 489.19$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.53 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e8…156dbacked Rockets | 50c | 486$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…a88abacked Rockets | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252a…e695backed Rockets | 50c | 484$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…72c3backed Magic | 50c | 482$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09de…4b9abacked Rockets | 50c | 482$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…52e5backed Magic | 50c | 478$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…d6bfbacked Magic | 50c | 476$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2226…c420backed Magic | 50c | 475$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…2a95backed Magic | 50c | 473$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…7810backed Rockets | 50c | 472$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…65b4backed Magic | 50c | 472$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ad…d29cbacked Rockets | 50c | 471$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…271dbacked Magic | 50c | 468$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Magic | 11c | 465.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac4…a8b8backed Magic | 50c | 462$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b66…fa28backed Rockets | 50c | 458$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…a587backed Magic | 50c | 458$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…3eb2backed Rockets | 50c | 456$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…cb2abacked Magic | 50c | 456$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…d626backed Magic | 50c | 456$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f4…4065backed Rockets | 50c | 448$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…aa3ebacked Magic | 50c | 442$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fc…3e09backed Magic | 50c | 442$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…29bcbacked Magic | 50c | 439$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rockets | 49c | 439$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.89 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…9d48backed Rockets | 50c | 434$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…533bbacked Rockets | 50c | 432$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0462backed Magic | 50c | 432$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…2fbabacked Magic | 50c | 430$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…c851backed Magic | 50c | 422$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…e0b2backed Magic | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…8bb3backed Magic | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…1ce7backed Rockets | 50c | 419$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Rockets | 48c | 417.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.38 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…bee6backed Magic | 50c | 416$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…cc9bbacked Rockets | 50c | 414$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7149…e329backed Rockets | 50c | 412$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841a…a83dbacked Rockets | 50c | 412$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4280…b78abacked Magic | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…110bbacked Magic | 50c | 406$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda4…6928backed Rockets | 50c | 404$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)this page
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Rockets vs. MagicRockets won
- Rockets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Rockets vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.