TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Magic: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,224 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c29,517$14,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,119.922,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under51c18,248$9,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,388.824045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under51c17,278$8,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,845.2116547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over48c13,017$6,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,768.9829650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c10,985$5,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,643.451,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under53c10,068$5,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,296.2517550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over52c8,324$4,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,995.431,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf12…a58cbacked Under53c7,542$3,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,99750%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under51c6,577$3,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,34026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c6,522$3,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,391.542,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c6,067$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,067.31,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c5,583$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.332,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.992,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c4,866$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,465.6664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under24c4,313$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01640243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.9925951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ac…346fbacked Under52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-61%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over53c3,758$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.813,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under52c3,515$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83233447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under80c3,250$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.2435942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.221,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over37c3,021$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.012,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over36c2,769$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.74531.1%14 W · 31 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over50c2,752$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.5551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf488…a534backed Under53c2,460$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over50c2,440$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c2,204$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c2,163$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.73,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over31c2,060$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.5616139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under52c2,059$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.472,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb30a…7fc3backed Over49c2,017$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under51c2,017$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.8544352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under52c1,822$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.2517144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76549852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,431$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under52c1,165$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.817744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c1,108$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.244,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55037747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c1,090$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.34,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over51c989.99$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.134855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under7c965.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.691,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under53c960.38$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5099952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under56c932.78$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.8983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c880.63$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under50c855.32$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1151146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over38c802.71$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c765$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.86,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under12c732.3$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c721$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.031,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c653.14$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over29c612.17$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.251,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Under52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3127454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c600$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.273,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece2…f453backed Over51c599.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29111943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under48c575.09$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.053,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe868…885bbacked Under48c529$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under49c522.57$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25749246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c506.51$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.351,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…187cbacked Under48c505$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fe…385bbacked Over52c490$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f02…9da5backed Over52c486$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd655…f5f5backed Under48c483$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4606…517bbacked Over52c480$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53d8…46fdbacked Over52c473$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c472.9$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.269,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79de…defbbacked Under48c472$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe878…8a5cbacked Over52c468$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb7…ec5abacked Under48c468$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3703…d6cabacked Over52c468$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a7…51c7backed Over52c467$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf674…f022backed Under48c461$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e8…ff24backed Over52c456$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a7…e89dbacked Over45c453.84$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb41…03e7backed Under48c452$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85a7…3f89backed Under48c446$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc5…5184backed Under48c435$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e7…2b58backed Under48c433$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b34…f880backed Over52c429$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e38…74e7backed Over52c425$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aea…aa67backed Over52c424$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8003…efaabacked Over52c416$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd598…4c4bbacked Under48c413$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc780…a268backed Over52c413$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44eb…31d6backed Under48c412$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3a…ba01backed Under48c412$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf534…9b55backed Under48c411$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f1…1fe8backed Over52c399$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a46…d22ebacked Under48c397$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e6…ba20backed Over52c396$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf6d…eacabacked Under48c395$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae1…a66abacked Over52c394$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd006…6449backed Over52c393$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0d…76f0backed Over52c392$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c390.5$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.443,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.