NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x263769b5be3e665ad7ef6aafc506b739892b561fdd8ffedc091eec3ad2944f40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,101,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,301,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,101,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 48c | 461,092$221,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221,324.39 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 47c | 420,925$196,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,684.95 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 52c | 348,887$181,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,465.69 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Timberwolves | 53c | 306,604$163,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,717.77 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Raptors | 45c | 200,776$89,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,473.89 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Raptors | 49c | 102,231$49,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,940.09 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Timberwolves | 54c | 100,842$54,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,387.5 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 98,997$54,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,548.62 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 55c | 93,491$51,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,296.21 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves | 57c | 75,913$43,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,746.41 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves | 58c | 70,000$40,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,400 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 64,989$37,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,820.23 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 62,395$34,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,066.4 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 59,861$31,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,899.53 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…b212backed Timberwolves | 54c | 53,024$28,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,327.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Timberwolves | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Timberwolves | 56c | 49,991$27,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,993.77 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Raptors | 46c | 45,174$20,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,983.7 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Raptors | 44c | 44,091$19,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,336 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 43,000$23,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,919.95 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 45c | 40,874$18,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,426.79 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 54c | 40,618$22,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,513.34 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Raptors | 47c | 40,012$19,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,005.61 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves | 55c | 40,000$21,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,200 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Timberwolves | 53c | 35,256$18,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,672.61 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Raptors | 44c | 34,091$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 30,080$16,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,411.07 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…8e62backed Raptors | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Timberwolves | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,799.99 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Raptors | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Raptors | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Raptors | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Timberwolves | 57c | 24,769$14,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,650.83 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Timberwolves | 56c | 24,747$13,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,807.42 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 52c | 24,514$12,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,783.47 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 44c | 23,069$10,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,164.94 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Timberwolves | 35c | 21,575$7,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,973.6 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…68a0backed Timberwolves | 53c | 20,520$10,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,644.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Raptors | 7c | 20,342$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.74 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…858dbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Timberwolves | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.94 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 39c | 19,498$7,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,842.35 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raptors | 41c | 18,357$7,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,547.86 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Raptors | 42c | 18,280$7,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,677.66 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.14 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.14 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Raptors | 45c | 17,781$8,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,006.82 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 17,300$10,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,266 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Raptors | 43c | 17,112$7,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,358.16 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Timberwolves | 57c | 16,897$9,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,210.22 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Timberwolves | 55c | 16,359$8,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,439.12 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Raptors | 44c | 16,136$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ae…188bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 15,999$8,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,679.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 46c | 15,875$7,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,241.83 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Raptors | 48c | 15,589$7,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,423 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Raptors | 48c | 15,222$7,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,306.34 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 15,022$7,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,160.55 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…8f16backed Timberwolves | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…a31bbacked Raptors | 48c | 14,986$7,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,170.23 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 14,148$6,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,694.58 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 13,500$6,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,875 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves | 53c | 13,086$6,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150.41 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Raptors | 47c | 13,040$6,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,128.92 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 12,638$6,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,687.27 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 57c | 12,588$7,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,143.76 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raptors | 47c | 12,392$5,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,774.33 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves | 56c | 12,317$6,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,386.69 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 12,006$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.72 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Raptors | 46c | 12,005$5,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,522.28 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Raptors | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Raptors | 45c | 11,930$5,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,368.5 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 11,111$5,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.28 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed Timberwolves | 57c | 11,000$6,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Timberwolves | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.99 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 10,783$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,734.22 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Timberwolves | 55c | 10,661$5,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,827.3 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Raptors | 2c | 10,571$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 53c | 10,405$5,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.35 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 57c | 10,071$5,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,758.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Raptors | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.98 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…8e9dbacked Raptors | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.94 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.93 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Raptors | 47c | 9,808$4,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.9 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 9,672$5,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.12 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Raptors | 2c | 9,645$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.39 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors | 61c | 9,054$5,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,505.43 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Timberwolves | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Timberwolves | 53c | 8,993$4,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.15 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Raptors | 45c | 8,889$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Raptors | 48c | 8,856$4,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.53 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Raptors | 46c | 8,758$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.94 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 8,646$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.77 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Raptors | 46c | 8,597$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.63 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Raptors | 78c | 8,589$6,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,696.79 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 45c | 8,442$3,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Raptors | 47c | 8,176$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,845.15 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 62c | 8,135$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.21 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Raptorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Raptors won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Raptors won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.