TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,392

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4373…eafdbacked Over54c4,322$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f09…919abacked Under46c4,230$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c97…f0a6backed Under46c4,200$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,93220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c84…144dbacked Over54c4,155$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b9…49f4backed Under46c4,150$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05de…54b9backed Under46c4,100$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240f…633fbacked Under46c3,899$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33be…d827backed Over54c3,877$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…63a2backed Under46c3,845$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe788…9578backed Under46c3,822$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f55…43d3backed Over54c3,811$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc933…3a9cbacked Over54c3,788$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a7…f401backed Under46c3,616$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc62…c9ffbacked Under46c3,611$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa80b…d029backed Over54c3,555$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c62…6963backed Over54c3,522$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc434…70edbacked Over54c3,515$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7512…0629backed Over54c3,514$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a20…fee9backed Over54c3,505$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x947e…8367backed Under46c3,500$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48b…5a0fbacked Under45c3,414$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…0a23backed Over55c3,414$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a7…7814backed Under46c3,412$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd5…3dacbacked Over54c3,401$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b97…ad2fbacked Over54c3,331$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c13…95d2backed Over54c3,322$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5e…133ebacked Under46c3,313$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc2…d0b1backed Under46c3,263$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4417…2837backed Under45c3,233$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.85450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe17c…e66cbacked Under46c3,214$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…d1d7backed Under46c3,211$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d7f…df4ebacked Under46c3,200$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd9c…2aeebacked Over54c3,138$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…4136backed Over54c3,131$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2351…a47ebacked Under46c3,131$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1175…c74abacked Under46c3,122$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde41…b848backed Under46c3,055$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f1…b90dbacked Under46c3,026$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd49…6e2ebacked Under45c3,023$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x937e…207ebacked Under45c3,022$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf9…78ddbacked Over54c3,013$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896c…f98abacked Under46c3,006$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0ca…1816backed Over55c2,955$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc51…ca10backed Over54c2,944$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8b…b872backed Over54c2,915$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4aa…67dabacked Under46c2,915$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ee0…43c0backed Over54c2,911$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x352f…74c5backed Over54c2,903$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5280…0391backed Under46c2,889$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.94450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1160…fc19backed Under46c2,844$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe24…ad1bbacked Under45c2,818$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb1…0f6abacked Over55c2,818$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36d…f295backed Under46c2,815$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f67…d79fbacked Over54c2,811$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a8a…31febacked Over54c2,788$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca55…dcd1backed Over54c2,722$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6234…820bbacked Over54c2,715$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x705b…e338backed Over55c2,712$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd717…cd65backed Over54c2,701$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4966…7c07backed Over55c2,701$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33db…17dcbacked Over54c2,611$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b9…7b23backed Under46c2,562$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f68…a1d7backed Over55c2,525$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff0…1ae7backed Over54c2,525$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e4…36efbacked Over54c2,511$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dff…dc6bbacked Under46c2,463$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f15…9c26backed Under46c2,444$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…b248backed Under46c2,436$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3b…14dfbacked Under46c2,233$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cf5…abb7backed Under46c2,222$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9c…ef88backed Over54c2,211$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x929f…3a2abacked Over54c2,201$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3de8…2342backed Over54c2,188$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf517…dfadbacked Over54c1,877$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e41…0755backed Under46c1,864$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01dd…2c1abacked Under46c1,853$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c1,850$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8928…0982backed Under45c1,843$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc23…9d98backed Under46c1,711$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.06425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1f0…74bdbacked Over54c1,710$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9142…49e4backed Under46c1,666$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9501…bf30backed Under46c1,655$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9369…e459backed Under46c1,634$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2417…818bbacked Under45c1,615$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb86…35a1backed Over55c1,563$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16d7…6e81backed Over54c1,534$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c28…9912backed Under45c1,533$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c1,489$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.471,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc356…0372backed Over55c1,432$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4412…2756backed Over55c1,425$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0571…fdccbacked Over54c1,423$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x820f…e2d5backed Over55c1,422$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b19…b8c9backed Under45c1,354$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9e…c032backed Under45c1,352$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bbe…7687backed Under46c1,352$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb9d…e2b4backed Over54c1,322$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b0f…25b4backed Over54c1,266$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1df…615ebacked Over54c1,255$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff94…05e6backed Under46c1,240$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3461…c2c9backed Over54c1,230$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.