NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b9bea6db2ea67ead8b71cc8b9bd13ff7624d651dfa89282f5e5dc7303c1018b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Timberwolves, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raptors | 50c | 40,800$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 49c | 23,803$11,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,108.2 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 11,963$6,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100.97 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 6,151$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…934bbacked Raptors | 51c | 6,016$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,955$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.58 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Raptors | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.97 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…fecabacked Raptors | 59c | 2,154$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…952cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,110$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…eaecbacked Raptors | 51c | 2,110$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48c5…a11dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1d…8ee9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,016$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Raptors | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…4493backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Raptors | 49c | 1,927$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.6 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…955abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 36c | 1,236$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,139$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 963.51$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors | 50c | 788.86$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.7 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 771$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.21 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 663.47$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Timberwolves | 51c | 662.7$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.98 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 48c | 598.95$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Timberwolves | 51c | 588.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Raptors | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Raptors | 51c | 459.36$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.68 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Raptors | 53c | 405.05$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.78 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 49c | 362.25$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.54 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Timberwolves | 50c | 350$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Timberwolves | 45c | 327.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Raptors | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Raptors | 53c | 319.05$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Raptors | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Raptors | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Timberwolves | 40c | 263.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Raptors | 52c | 227.62$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Raptors | 55c | 208.58$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…483dbacked Raptors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Raptors | 32c | 169$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Timberwolves | 50c | 160.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Raptors | 56c | 156.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 138$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Timberwolves | 51c | 133.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Raptors | 51c | 124.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors | 57c | 118.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Timberwolves | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Raptors | 54c | 97.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed Raptors | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 95.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…5d16backed Raptors | 54c | 93.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Timberwolves | 52c | 92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Raptors | 51c | 88.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Raptors | 53c | 86.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Raptors | 53c | 75.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Raptors | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 46c | 74.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Raptors | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 69.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Raptors | 54c | 69.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Raptors | 48c | 68.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Raptors | 53c | 68.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Raptors | 51c | 67.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 51c | 66.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Raptors | 54c | 64.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Timberwolves | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Raptors | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…5ec6backed Raptors | 53c | 56.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…8405backed Raptors | 53c | 53.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3948…f81bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Timberwolves | 47c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…f9c9backed Timberwolves | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Raptors | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Timberwolves | 48c | 47.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 47.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Raptors | 53c | 46.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3296backed Raptors | 53c | 45.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Raptors | 54c | 44.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1855…f911backed Timberwolves | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cd…f2c7backed Timberwolves | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…8edbbacked Raptors | 53c | 40.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Timberwolves | 49c | 40.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522e…02e7backed Raptors | 53c | 40.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Timberwolves | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Timberwolves | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Timberwolves | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Raptors | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Raptors won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. RaptorsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.