TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Timberwolves, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Raptors50c40,800$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,4001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Timberwolves50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors49c23,803$11,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,108.21,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Timberwolves51c11,963$6,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,100.978961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves50c6,151$3,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,067.239,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9729…934bbacked Raptors51c6,016$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves47c4,955$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.5836359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Raptors53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.9713954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe668…fecabacked Raptors59c2,154$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.331250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x730f…952cbacked Timberwolves49c2,110$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.91566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd462…eaecbacked Raptors51c2,110$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.91330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48c5…a11dbacked Timberwolves49c2,100$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1d…8ee9backed Timberwolves49c2,016$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Raptors51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb42a…4493backed Timberwolves49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e46…35efbacked Timberwolves51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Raptors49c1,927$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x195e…955abacked Timberwolves49c1,900$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves36c1,236$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves45c1,139$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.654,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Timberwolves51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves49c963.51$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.774,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors50c788.86$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.73,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves51c771$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.212,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves45c663.47$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.566,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Timberwolves51c662.7$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.981,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves48c598.95$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Timberwolves51c588.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.992944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Raptors52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.924645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Raptors51c459.36$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6821243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Raptors53c405.05$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.788344.6%37 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Timberwolves51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves49c362.25$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.543,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Timberwolves50c350$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.564139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Timberwolves45c327.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.619647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Raptors55c327.27$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2712652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Raptors53c319.05$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.834839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Raptors51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.120149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Raptors55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9966645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Timberwolves40c263.45$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10516745.5%76 W · 91 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Timberwolves51c245.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Raptors52c227.62$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2629748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed Raptors55c208.58$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.389764.9%63 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f32…483dbacked Raptors52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.317643.4%33 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Raptors32c169$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.541,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Timberwolves50c160.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.418643%37 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b5b…6e14backed Raptors56c156.98$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.485853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba4c…9dc3backed Timberwolves51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.56741.8%28 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Timberwolves49c138$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.621,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Timberwolves51c133.27$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Raptors51c124.2$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors57c118.3$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.063,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Timberwolves51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Raptors54c97.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.037846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Raptors52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1514947%70 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Timberwolves47c95.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.818440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73ee…5d16backed Raptors54c93.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.256346%29 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Timberwolves52c92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5641048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf23…ee81backed Raptors51c88.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.24351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Raptors53c86.83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9712752%66 W · 61 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Raptors53c75.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2612541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Timberwolves48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3648956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Raptors53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2552240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves46c74.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.272,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Raptors55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7337344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Timberwolves51c69.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3665950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Raptors54c69.4$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0611755.6%65 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Raptors48c68.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8723644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Raptors53c68.26$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.069753.6%52 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Raptors51c67.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0650648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Raptors51c66.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.53,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Raptors54c64.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7811752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Timberwolves51c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8138252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Timberwolves50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Raptors50c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2935851.7%185 W · 173 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71eb…5ec6backed Raptors53c56.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.567650%38 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb122…8405backed Raptors53c53.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.075040%20 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3948…f81bbacked Timberwolves47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Timberwolves47c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3639041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51aa…f9c9backed Timberwolves50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Raptors48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2680744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Timberwolves48c47.52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Timberwolves49c47.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Raptors53c46.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7547045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97d3…3296backed Raptors53c45.37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.415437%20 W · 34 L-7.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Raptors54c44.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.718653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1855…f911backed Timberwolves48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5cd…f2c7backed Timberwolves48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6909…8edbbacked Raptors53c40.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.335641.1%23 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Timberwolves49c40.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x522e…02e7backed Raptors53c40.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.074643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Timberwolves50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed1…1094backed Timberwolves51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.45865.5%38 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Timberwolves50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Raptors51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves49c39.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.221,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors60c38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.23,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.