NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa11bf96f62e3012c131152d3007acab6d3a61d725ec9db8d4cdd5891616b790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $358,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 50c | 152,236$76,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,117.88 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 150,034$75,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,017 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Timberwolves | 50c | 40,494$20,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,246.94 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 50c | 35,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,599.99 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Raptors | 50c | 19,436$9,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,718 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 15,395$8,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,389.58 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Timberwolves | 54c | 15,386$8,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,077.61 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 14,844$7,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,044.83 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 49c | 10,931$5,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 48c | 9,535$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,576.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 8,667$4,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 8,007$4,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,923.51 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9092…4ca2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 7,169$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 54c | 5,867$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.38 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 5,524$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.19 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 3,787$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,759$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.97 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Raptors | 50c | 3,500$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,313$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,034$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.83 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Raptors | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,757$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,497$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 55c | 2,299$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Raptors | 49c | 2,242$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.11 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 51c | 2,114$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Timberwolves | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,755$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.68 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,563$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.81 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Raptors | 45c | 1,500$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,488$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.14 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Raptors | 51c | 1,451$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,368$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.47 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Raptors | 50c | 1,245$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.28 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 1,244$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.24 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Raptors | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,062$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.98 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Raptors | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 999.94$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.97 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 53c | 910.2$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Timberwolves | 49c | 880$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.8 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 49c | 664.05$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.38 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Timberwolves | 51c | 659.05$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.93 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 51c | 630.37$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Raptors | 45c | 616$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Raptors | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Raptors | 48c | 489.83$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.12 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Raptors | 47c | 480.62$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.81 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Raptors | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Raptors | 45c | 400$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raptors | 48c | 376.46$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.84 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Timberwolves | 49c | 362.05$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.65 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Raptors | 51c | 319.09$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.47 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 56c | 309.12$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Timberwolves | 45c | 308.69$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.23 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Raptors | 47c | 307.46$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.51 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Timberwolves | 40c | 270$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Raptors | 47c | 267.71$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Raptors | 48c | 256.75$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.16 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Raptors | 46c | 252.52$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Timberwolves | 52c | 252.22$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Raptors | 62c | 236.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.26 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Raptors | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Raptors | 50c | 203.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Raptors | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…299bbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…e2f4backed Timberwolves | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…ee60backed Timberwolves | 57c | 189.56$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Raptors | 52c | 187.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Raptors | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Timberwolves | 55c | 166.73$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Raptors | 49c | 163$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Raptors | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Raptors | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…6102backed Raptors | 52c | 113.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Raptors | 56c | 112.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Timberwolves | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 99.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Timberwolves | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Raptors | 52c | 94.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Timberwolves | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Raptors | 53c | 91.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Raptors | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Raptors | 48c | 82.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Raptors | 48c | 81.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 78.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Timberwolves | 56c | 71.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 68.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors | 55c | 66.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Raptors won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Raptors won
- Timberwolves vs. RaptorsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.