TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97e5…e2f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST4932.7%16 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$886.79
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$754.39
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$461.54
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$257.14
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$400
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$74.29
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$62
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.89
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$180
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$48.33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$202.27
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$112.94
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,565.48
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$507
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,777Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+101.3%+$1,800.42
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$363.69
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$515.89
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+316.7%+$950
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$101.48
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$71.71
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$204.36
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+257.1%+$100.8
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$202.5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$99.6
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+219.3%+$1,730.4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.02
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$500
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+123.5%+$383.43
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+163.2%+$222.98
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$278.5
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$176.19
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,284Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$820.98
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$310
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+127.4%+$254.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$198.21
Will Paradex launch a token on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$93.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$196
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$170.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.