TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$355,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,589 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Warriors47c94,813$44,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,281.5572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f6…af37backed Warriors50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors49c33,271$16,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,213.787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs51c32,398$16,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,732.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Spurs54c22,498$12,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,348.9292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors50c19,494$9,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,652.1348343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Warriors46c19,458$8,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,995.367240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Spurs53c17,021$9,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,999.6615147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Warriors51c15,085$7,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,640.4745850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors50c14,670$7,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,263.551,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Spurs50c12,453$6,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,226.7559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs53c11,285$5,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,303.951,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Spurs51c10,725$5,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,255.2524053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Spurs54c10,624$5,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,887.046860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Spurs53c9,616$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,536.6724450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…4363backed Spurs53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.963033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Spurs51c9,412$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,611.765154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6756…39f0backed Spurs53c9,085$4,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,269.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs49c8,163$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.2776746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Spurs51c6,500$3,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18524252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Spurs51c5,900$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,89147856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Spurs53c5,712$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.352,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Spurs50c5,537$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.565147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Warriors47c5,000$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,374.9869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Spurs53c4,756$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.544352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Spurs53c4,536$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.1219445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Spurs51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96017348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Spurs50c3,520$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.25945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Warriors45c3,340$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.9431644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Warriors48c3,170$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.421,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Spurs51c3,144$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.561,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Spurs52c3,025$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.6315450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Spurs51c2,599$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.591,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Warriors51c2,414$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.2941652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs52c2,409$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs50c2,377$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.732,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Spurs51c2,354$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.4617551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs52c2,309$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.64,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4113…e904backed Spurs50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1005048%24 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4546…a2c2backed Spurs53c2,023$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.811747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors48c1,955$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.083,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Spurs53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.794932.7%16 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Spurs53c1,828$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.38647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Spurs53c1,508$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.543548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed Spurs13c1,500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.621850%9 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+202.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors47c1,404$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.811,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors48c1,374$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Spurs53c1,321$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.7512844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Spurs53c1,203$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.3332150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Warriors48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5764146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors58c1,113$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Warriors48c1,007$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.3615849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Spurs50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Warriors50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Warriors50c982$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49185147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Spurs53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.465339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Spurs52c930.77$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.7743453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs51c926.28$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.2870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs50c920$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs44c821.43$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.893,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spurs52c793.27$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.772,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Spurs51c725.48$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.4818456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors67c717.1$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.963,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs49c696.41$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.332,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Warriors51c660$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.68252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed Spurs51c627.94$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.695846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Spurs50c620$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31041742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Spurs52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2889149.5%45 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a80…8c5ebacked Warriors46c580.43$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2677439.2%29 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs14c577.87$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.41,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Spurs52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9223251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Spurs53c566.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.771973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs34c560.81$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.163,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a3…e9efbacked Spurs52c540.38$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Spurs56c536.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.077862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c7…4138backed Warriors50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Spurs31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34511245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Warriors49c434$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3735352.4%185 W · 168 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Spurs50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Spurs51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19614344.1%63 W · 80 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Spurs51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.167460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Warriors51c389.88$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9418446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Spurs52c365.38$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3810049%49 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df3…0fb5backed Spurs52c320$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.68057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Warriors50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Spurs51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1215154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs50c262.16$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.082,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Warriors48c250$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7523845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Spurs52c248.87$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.985147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Spurs52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.772055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked Spurs52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.779960.6%60 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs51c221$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.495,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs51c218.15$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.955,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs54c216.18$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.332,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…07dcbacked Warriors51c204.49$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…d311backed Spurs50c204.49$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Spurs49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0863447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Warriors50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010342.7%44 W · 59 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.