NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff50d1cc8c6c1e01fff11c5cc5c4719aee3ef9e5bb85c383b985abc61a0bcd14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Warriors | 58c | 29,031$16,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,836.79 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 56c | 27,462$15,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,378.9 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 58c | 18,777$10,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,890.67 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Spurs | 44c | 13,324$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,474.56 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 42c | 11,902$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,896.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…e9efbacked Spurs | 44c | 8,820$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 39c | 7,757$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Spurs | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 42c | 3,680$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 44c | 3,360$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.78 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spurs | 29c | 3,022$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.6 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Warriors | 57c | 2,527$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.59 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Spurs | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Warriors | 79c | 1,523$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 46c | 1,337$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 43c | 1,045$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.41 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 24c | 1,043$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.44 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Warriors | 72c | 696.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Warriors | 40c | 646.31$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Spurs | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…ae93backed Spurs | 44c | 596.62$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.7 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Warriors | 68c | 591.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs | 32c | 512.97$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.82 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs | 67c | 500.44$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Warriors | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 44c | 492.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Spurs | 8c | 489.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.21 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs | 39c | 413.47$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.17 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Spurs | 51c | 392.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Warriors | 71c | 350$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 56c | 342$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Warriors | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Warriors | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 43c | 264.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.52 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Warriors | 57c | 243.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Warriors | 57c | 232.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Spurs | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Warriors | 75c | 225.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Spurs | 7c | 219.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Warriors | 57c | 185$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Warriors | 58c | 176.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Spurs | 42c | 174.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Warriors | 57c | 170.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b8…1762backed Spurs | 68c | 146.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 54c | 130.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b54…97b8backed Warriors | 73c | 123.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Warriors | 43c | 123.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Warriors | 48c | 117.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Spurs | 44c | 108.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Spurs | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Warriors | 57c | 104.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Warriors | 45c | 103.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Warriors | 57c | 103.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Spurs | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Warriors | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…65a5backed Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Spurs | 32c | 98.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs | 42c | 93.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Warriors | 56c | 88.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Warriors | 57c | 86.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc121…e0c3backed Warriors | 58c | 86.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Warriors | 57c | 86.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Warriors | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Spurs | 41c | 80.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Warriors | 53c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 36c | 75.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Spurs | 65c | 73.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Warriors | 55c | 71.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Warriors | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…d704backed Spurs | 62c | 69.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Warriors | 58c | 69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Warriors | 58c | 68.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Spurs | 45c | 62.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Warriors | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Warriors | 58c | 57.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Warriors | 57c | 55.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…d406backed Warriors | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Warriors | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Spurs | 35c | 52.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Warriors | 57c | 52.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…1802backed Warriors | 57c | 50.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +187.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Warriors | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Warriors | 40c | 49.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Spurs | 39c | 46.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Warriors | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Spurs | 43c | 35.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd27…4721backed Warriors | 57c | 35.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…3fbbbacked Warriors | 57c | 34.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Spurs | 44c | 34.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…919dbacked Spurs | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Warriors | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…354cbacked Warriors | 58c | 28.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Spurs | 38c | 28.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…6fc6backed Spurs | 44c | 26.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Warriors | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Warriors | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…0b3dbacked Warriors | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Warriors | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Warriors won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Pat Spencer: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. WarriorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.