NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf18631887874308ff826e527f9d523f1cc9b9841d2627bdf9a7985f6b4e820f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Under | 6c | 1,517$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 62c | 1,472$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.91 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 46c | 929.1$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.38 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 38c | 674.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.77 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 663.41$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…c7e6backed Over | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 37c | 509.18$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 34c | 446.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 41c | 443.9$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Over | 54c | 370.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 63c | 318.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 38c | 295.33$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.13 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 54c | 255.37$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 9c | 165.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Over | 62c | 160.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 62c | 156.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 38c | 138.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 31c | 134.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…8277backed Over | 62c | 122.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -19.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Over | 62c | 116.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 42c | 111.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 93.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 63c | 87.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 56c | 84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 36c | 78.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 36c | 77.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 38c | 68.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 57c | 63.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 63c | 52.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 40c | 49.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…e6e5backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…b7e2backed Over | 63c | 39.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…daf7backed Over | 65c | 39.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 42c | 37.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…c059backed Over | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 33.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 60c | 30.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 61c | 29.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 61c | 27.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc054…7877backed Over | 61c | 25.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…44f6backed Under | 42c | 25.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 63c | 20.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…997dbacked Over | 62c | 19.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Over | 63c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Warriors won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Pat Spencer: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. WarriorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.