NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eee012e1a07a313bdc0f517a36e02fbd38c1c4eed719b1a77868ce10ec82cb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 49c | 78,514$38,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,834 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 51c | 73,209$36,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,215.47 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 51c | 19,705$10,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,049.12 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 7,291$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 5,467$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Under | 48c | 4,347$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.62 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 4,253$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.89 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 2,210$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 49c | 1,816$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.16 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 49c | 1,157$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.14 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 50c | 954.58$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.29 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 879$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 49c | 870$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.7 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 34c | 718.53$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.67 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 54c | 612.27$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.77 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 44c | 592.17$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 522.59$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 51c | 468.41$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.72 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 70c | 400$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 374.53$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 271.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 49c | 202.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Over | 49c | 202.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…a8c5backed Under | 50c | 200.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…1a78backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…c092backed Over | 20c | 161.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 11cpaid | +378%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 159.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 139.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Over | 51c | 139.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Under | 48c | 119.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Under | 52c | 112.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 53c | 106.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 104.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…7a41backed Under | 52c | 72.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under | 50c | 61.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc35…91ddbacked Under | 50c | 51.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ac80backed Under | 51c | 49.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 48.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 52c | 48.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…4cd6backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…9599backed Over | 55c | 36.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…f1d6backed Under | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd2…a7aebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 52c | 27.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Under | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…035ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Warriors won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Pat Spencer: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. WarriorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.