TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb59c…e944

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT4447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.53
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$18.09
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.1
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.12
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$251.1
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$12.33
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.37
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+76%+$43.18
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100%+$169
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$150.4
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$54.9
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34.1
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+25%+$31.1
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+177.8%+$19.2
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$75.65
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+400%+$307.65
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.12
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.77
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$120.88
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$71
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Geoff Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$125
UFC Fight Night: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25.7%+$15.43
UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Basharat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+53.5%+$80.23
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$392
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.8%+$77.7
UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mullarkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.5%+$76.92
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elekana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+43.7%+$48.09
UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$42.31
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Malkoun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Micallef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$818.18
UFC 325: Yizha vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Yizha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$113.96
UFC 325: Sangwook Kim vs. Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Kim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$148.44
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.3wins-0.33per pick56cpaid-60.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-4.5)backed Robert Morris Colonials · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)backed Robert Morris Colonials · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
Detroit Titans vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Robert Morris Colonials · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.3
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+43.5%+$45.5
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-20.5)backed Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-6.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Creighton Bluejays vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$32.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+113.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$138.46
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+48.4%+$121.04
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+98.5%+$243.1
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+99.6%+$49.8
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$176.6
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$125.5
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$159
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+185.8%+$112.78
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+1,150%+$276
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$473.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.5
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$51.94
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$180
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$25.95
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$190.23
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+222.6%+$207
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,304Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,304.07
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.1
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,888Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+50%+$944.2
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$217
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$41.9
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$55.29
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$417.4
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$654.5
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+58.7%+$101.75
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$208.39
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$39.93
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$94.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$43.45
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$51.4
Houston vs. Baylorbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+32.7%+$73.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+53.1%+$104
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37%+$113.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+95.8%+$76.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+83.3%+$868.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+30.7%+$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$141
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.