TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Canucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabresof Sabres, Canucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$745,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$767,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $745,627 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Canucks36c327,340$118,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,573.582330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Sabres64c202,708$128,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,714.8138748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Sabres52c69,884$36,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,544.2317749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres74c40,377$29,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,517.051,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Canucks39c30,000$11,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,699.9942552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sabres47c28,122$13,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,904.8162951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Sabres51c25,835$13,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,659.218354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canucks48c21,475$10,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,251.351,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed Canucks54c18,522$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Sabres54c17,665$9,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,177.637844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Canucks29c17,034$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006833.8%23 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Sabres72c16,425$11,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,598.92785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+40.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Canucks49c14,607$7,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,084.462249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Sabres51c14,350$7,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,031.548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Canucks48c11,528$5,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,533.941,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Canucks29c10,517$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Canucks48c10,350$4,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,967.9951452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Canucks48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Canucks48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Sabres72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8003759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Canucks48c9,450$4,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5368453.6%45 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Sabres47c9,196$4,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,873.6317057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Sabres49c8,344$4,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,255.19520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Sabres73c8,211$5,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Sabres47c8,203$3,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,347.5928353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Sabres65c7,700$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6951450%7 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e14…fb6bbacked Canucks52c6,466$3,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,358.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Sabres52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Canucks48c5,045$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.8370547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Sabres72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4001752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Canucks29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45026344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9285…749ebacked Sabres49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5502556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Canucks32c4,900$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.994339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Sabres80c3,831$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.711662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Canucks48c3,644$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.0530152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Canucks47c3,629$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.5547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres50c3,200$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60052050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6066…7b1abacked Canucks49c3,002$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Sabres52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9913333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x95f1…9f1cbacked Sabres51c2,993$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Canucks26c2,718$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.47933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Canucks47c2,609$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2262,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Canucks48c2,523$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.0286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Sabres47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32522150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sabres74c2,280$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.0357157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Canucks28c2,135$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.3589547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Canucks48c2,090$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.285250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canucks48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Canucks25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Canucks1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Sabres72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sabres69c1,824$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.611,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da3…71bebacked Sabres53c1,698$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe2c…28afbacked Canucks48c1,677$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Canucks26c1,663$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.392536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sabres62c1,625$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.393,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f1…e373backed Sabres47c1,618$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.542556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Canucks48c1,571$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.1569550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Canucks48c1,563$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509846.9%46 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Canucks1c1,544$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.447450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Sabres53c1,509$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.4347256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sabres54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.0575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Canucks12c1,500$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2218547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Canucks48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Sabres71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.9732744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Canucks55c1,346$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7351353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Canucks46c1,312$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.746253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Sabres54c1,142$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.5918840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Sabres50c1,068$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.5485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked Sabres71c1,054$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.824334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd4…ea9abacked Sabres68c1,016$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.871457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Canucks17c1,015$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Canucks48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48014945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Canucks48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Canucks29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.991,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Sabres51c975.84$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.847650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Sabres53c965.57$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.8220951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Sabres53c960.02$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.218541.2%35 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Canucks48c919.19$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.2620552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres65c904.08$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.4195049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…0d38backed Canucks29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sabres61c844.56$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.732,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Canucks30c829.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014539.3%57 W · 88 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sabres56c817$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.772,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Canucks6c753.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.247230.6%22 W · 50 L+14.5wins+0.20per pick10cpaid+218.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Sabres70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2911151.4%57 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Sabres72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Canucks48c693.75$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33320047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Canucks17c674.58$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4211950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…4c6dbacked Canucks63c672.31$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.047035.7%25 W · 45 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Canucks6c663.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.363737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Sabres73c650.45$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.452050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Sabres47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.33961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Canucks40c616.66$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24824347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Canucks49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29421147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Sabres53c590.11$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.8321620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb61b…edd5backed Sabres75c573.21$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.264100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sabres60c567.77$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.092,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Sabres70c552.06$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2184953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.