TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4335…4399

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST2536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+83.7%+$3,013.75
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,900
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$847
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$210
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Rangers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Senators vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Blue Jackets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+89.8%+$105.96
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$301.75
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+92.6%+$453.2
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$432.39
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+85.4%+$170.87
Ducks vs. Islandersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$79.05
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$400
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,779Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+67.7%+$2,558.75
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$980.19
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+59.9%+$118.91
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$112.5
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+257.1%+$514.29
LoL: Oh My God vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+25.2%+$25.2
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+44.5%+$533.75
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$230
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+157.9%+$315.74
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LSU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$304.62
Virginia vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno Statebacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Army (-7.5)backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+66.7%+$88
O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
O/U 59.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$500.34
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$102.27
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,600
California vs. Hawaii: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$300
UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohio: O/U 64.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.8%+$108.81
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+127.3%+$254.66
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+103.9%+$207.77
O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$490
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$208.47
Burnley FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$470.59
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+460.2%+$460.17
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$253.64
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$293.48
Will West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 24.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+81.1%+$405.31
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+141.9%+$567.74
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+137%+$136.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$117.86
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$163
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$5,000
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.8%+$200.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameroon vs. Gabon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$92.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.