NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73bc41dd3da18c18a732ea7c310c11d7425f36682dba3e679a3d29a2edf15da9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $922,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $952,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $922,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Ducks | 50c | 46,549$23,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,439.98 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Ducks | 14c | 32,482$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ducks | 51c | 30,318$15,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,376.95 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Stars | 53c | 23,392$12,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,015.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 50c | 16,672$8,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,341.21 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks | 49c | 13,018$6,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,342.78 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Stars | 52c | 13,012$6,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,245.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Stars | 49c | 10,457$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,282.88 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Ducks | 49c | 9,889$4,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845.52 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Stars | 49c | 8,080$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.8 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Ducks | 47c | 7,442$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.66 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Stars | 49c | 7,243$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.45 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…b9bebacked Ducks | 49c | 7,113$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Stars | 51c | 5,635$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.08 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stars | 49c | 5,328$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.81 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…8397backed Ducks | 48c | 5,235$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa470…c95dbacked Stars | 51c | 5,202$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Stars | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Ducks | 49c | 4,995$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.55 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Stars | 50c | 4,918$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…67b4backed Stars | 51c | 4,794$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7674…90b4backed Ducks | 48c | 4,760$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ducks | 50c | 4,367$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.49 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Ducks | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 77c | 3,858$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.06 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Stars | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars | 48c | 3,682$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.55 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ducks | 50c | 3,660$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.37 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Stars | 72c | 3,634$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.68 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Ducks | 48c | 3,234$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.76 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Stars | 50c | 3,173$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.25 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.97 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Stars | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f23…56f8backed Stars | 52c | 2,773$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46c…a1e4backed Ducks | 48c | 2,764$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Stars | 49c | 2,735$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.81 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…a7febacked Stars | 52c | 2,374$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Ducks | 48c | 2,367$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.16 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…cf74backed Ducks | 49c | 2,296$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…31d5backed Ducks | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Ducks | 51c | 2,233$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.72 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d8…d72bbacked Stars | 52c | 2,228$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…0b61backed Ducks | 49c | 2,220$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…28d8backed Ducks | 49c | 2,178$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0edf…0211backed Stars | 52c | 2,172$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Stars | 51c | 2,144$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.56 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f9…cb36backed Stars | 52c | 2,142$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 52c | 2,112$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.36 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e77…cf6abacked Stars | 52c | 2,111$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Ducks | 49c | 2,106$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.94 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…0258backed Stars | 52c | 2,088$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…e565backed Ducks | 49c | 2,055$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a9…6715backed Ducks | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…543cbacked Ducks | 48c | 2,020$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.98 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 49c | 1,999$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.67 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Stars | 49c | 1,951$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.02 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbf…04e4backed Stars | 52c | 1,875$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…0373backed Ducks | 49c | 1,857$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…9750backed Stars | 51c | 1,840$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Stars | 53c | 1,719$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.22 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Ducks | 1c | 1,670$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…6495backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…57aebacked Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…b248backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…eb36backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…6016backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…645cbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe1…5a9cbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…f824backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…5b37backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…ee61backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…d1e5backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572f…7958backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…875fbacked Stars | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebd4…e80ebacked Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ee…49b0backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…1d67backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…d03dbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…148abacked Stars | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc2…caffbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d38…cdebbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…f1d0backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…f616backed Stars | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437f…5739backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…2d72backed Stars | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…11f2backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…c581backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf401…a35abacked Stars | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7036…23bbbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fec…7258backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…05d0backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5f…e99ebacked Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e3…43d7backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…8395backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…9448backed Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…d67fbacked Stars | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…e22ebacked Ducks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Ducksthis page
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Stars won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.