TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e6f…ffaa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST11947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$102.19
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$439.69
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$700.71
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,056
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$3,242.08
Bruins vs. Krakenbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$314.6
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.85
Ducks vs. Flyersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.2
Stars vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$26.6
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+127.6%+$1,252.81
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$69.58
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,665Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$2,835
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,955Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+79.4%+$1,553.27
Jets vs. Red Wingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$120.11
Predators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,309Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+156.4%+$3,611.36
Islanders vs. Blackhawksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.9%+$642.44
Utah vs. Avalanchebacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,849.37
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$101.33
Rangers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$299.55
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$4,034
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+103%+$808.61
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$29.15
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$25.44
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,050.56
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+132.6%+$123.22
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT5451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$215
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$255
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$313.49
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$245
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$323.98
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.03
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$324
Reds vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$270
Reds vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$420
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$422.99
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$189.99
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,831Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,438.44
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$726
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$725.2
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$310.8
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$594.9
Blue Jays vs. Royalsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$727.36
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$457.47
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$392
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$727.09
Yankees vs. Twinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.9%+$507.96
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$727.09
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$853.43
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pan Pacific Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,895Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$1,405
China Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegulabacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,610Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$1,890
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 64.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,080
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3)backed BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$320
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.