TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Jets, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$873,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$878,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $873,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 738 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Jets50c173,414$86,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,530.7688151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Red Wings51c141,344$71,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,472.17946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7a…4c4cbacked Red Wings48c117,761$56,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,614.494247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Jets50c80,605$40,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,302.542462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Jets53c47,151$24,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,9909548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x654d…8e3ebacked Red Wings49c45,179$22,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,141.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jets53c43,057$22,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,799.4379350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings47c40,000$18,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,199.991,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Jets47c29,556$13,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,891.4915953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Jets50c25,141$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,500955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed Red Wings66c20,000$13,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,802.171747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jets52c18,900$9,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,82832251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jets34c16,942$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,760.4538748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Red Wings47c16,758$7,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,871.4933345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets18c14,039$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,576.441,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings49c12,600$6,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,434.081,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings52c11,914$6,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,712.721,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Jets52c8,842$4,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,597.755261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings54c8,504$4,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,905.821,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1601,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jets26c7,733$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.3938738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Jets24c7,419$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.888650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Red Wings49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0604440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings51c5,866$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.5123047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Red Wings49c5,555$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.054365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Red Wings51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6501,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Red Wings57c4,868$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.242343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Red Wings51c4,787$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.6324654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Jets43c4,656$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.211,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Jets14c3,718$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.5229926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jets27c3,710$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.192,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Red Wings49c3,600$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8366855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Red Wings53c3,473$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.312846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Red Wings52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4405735.1%20 W · 37 L-13.5wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Red Wings53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jets11c2,959$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.412,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed Red Wings49c2,891$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Red Wings51c2,765$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.017659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings53c2,763$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.761,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Red Wings52c2,635$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.9622852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Red Wings53c2,635$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.5253050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jets52c2,404$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.0884953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Jets52c2,350$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets22c2,325$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.789636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings50c2,303$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.621,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jets28c2,244$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.4295049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Red Wings52c2,208$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.0247951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Jets45c2,200$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Red Wings51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9806555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Jets52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0402740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Red Wings50c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99012648.4%61 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Red Wings49c1,998$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.961442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings50c1,701$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.561748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419b…0944backed Red Wings55c1,663$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.132250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets1c1,544$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.447450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Red Wings49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7657338.4%28 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46c4…f952backed Red Wings51c1,496$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ec…3c22backed Jets49c1,496$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b4e…325dbacked Jets49c1,495$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f5…a2afbacked Red Wings51c1,495$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…99eabacked Jets49c1,494$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick53cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b2…8e36backed Red Wings51c1,494$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…23b8backed Jets49c1,494$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c82…3c73backed Red Wings51c1,494$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd65c…196fbacked Red Wings51c1,493$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.57520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abe…c6cfbacked Jets49c1,493$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8684…4644backed Red Wings51c1,492$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ac…a451backed Jets49c1,492$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x735d…4e1fbacked Red Wings51c1,483$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cb…fef6backed Red Wings51c1,483$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc10e…b567backed Jets49c1,483$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.67850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd608…c598backed Jets49c1,483$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.67520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda2d…4fe6backed Red Wings51c1,480$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e0…0db3backed Jets49c1,480$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a71…17f7backed Jets49c1,480$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+70.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b08…6de9backed Red Wings51c1,480$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80dd…4d1cbacked Jets49c1,479$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa03f…94b3backed Red Wings51c1,479$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3589…902dbacked Red Wings51c1,479$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.71520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc9…53bcbacked Jets49c1,479$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3451…ddbabacked Jets49c1,476$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a4…3275backed Red Wings51c1,476$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c66…849cbacked Red Wings51c1,475$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf44a…22abbacked Jets49c1,475$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d9…1b33backed Jets49c1,474$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x252a…9a4abacked Red Wings51c1,474$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.26450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9695…bb08backed Jets49c1,473$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfa…77f7backed Red Wings51c1,473$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc8…7713backed Red Wings51c1,466$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b0…c5e6backed Jets49c1,466$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.34616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb031…3a6abacked Jets49c1,466$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2bd…6e39backed Red Wings51c1,466$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6257…bd72backed Jets49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d56…8ff9backed Red Wings51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9441…37a4backed Red Wings51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c9d…6841backed Jets49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe0…28e2backed Jets49c1,456$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b47…e75fbacked Red Wings51c1,456$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.