TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Stars, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,279 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Hurricanes55c19,419$10,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,738.4315953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Stars44c9,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes56c8,947$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,936.481,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Stars38c8,438$3,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,238.6361748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Stars1c7,785$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8522150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Stars0c7,118$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.792504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hurricanes62c6,711$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.271,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Stars28c6,632$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.0838738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hurricanes56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,64089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Stars45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7004949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Stars1c5,417$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9226344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Stars16c5,010$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.691752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2501,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Stars2c4,789$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3632744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Stars0c3,973$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.527450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Stars40c3,958$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Stars44c3,300$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45251045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Stars44c2,845$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.7556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7743…1ae9backed Stars44c2,499$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab0c…3026backed Hurricanes55c2,355$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.931266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Hurricanes55c2,320$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.838450%42 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Stars10c2,310$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.629926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Hurricanes55c2,212$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Stars45c1,875$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.011,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8f…178abacked Hurricanes57c1,829$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+96%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Stars46c1,800$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8283246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Hurricanes54c1,800$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8282955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Stars45c1,799$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.951,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Hurricanes55c1,780$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.9861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stars32c1,741$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.871,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed Stars8c1,727$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.587152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stars45c1,667$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9c…a585backed Hurricanes54c1,641$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Stars45c1,637$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.518547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Hurricanes54c1,636$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.6914553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d8…ce04backed Stars46c1,630$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…65f5backed Hurricanes56c1,606$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Stars46c1,603$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Stars1c1,600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5557.3%4 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+70.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Stars44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6603953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hurricanes55c1,500$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.51,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Stars32c1,322$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.7934538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Stars44c1,288$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.7214848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Hurricanes56c1,239$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.2920047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hurricanes54c1,236$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.4426955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Stars21c1,184$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.42,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes55c1,167$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.252,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Hurricanes71c1,134$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.7658467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Stars45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Hurricanes56c1,100$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4847054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Hurricanes54c1,068$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.2422852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stars6c1,029$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2499638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Hurricanes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Stars1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45025555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Stars44c999.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Stars45c995.56$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4489254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Stars44c993$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.9254047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb956…6e33backed Hurricanes56c892.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Stars14c892.84$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9429412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hurricanes62c829.09$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.4489636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Stars2c814.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.134117.1%7 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ce0…48fcbacked Hurricanes54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes55c769.58$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.3697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Stars2c730.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.649423.4%22 W · 72 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Stars45c693.33$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31232151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Hurricanes73c619$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.682532%8 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Hurricanes54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27676450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Stars7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4227334.4%94 W · 179 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Stars15c566.67$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867317.8%13 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Stars44c521.59$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.4331248.4%151 W · 161 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Stars45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22519645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Hurricanes56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hurricanes56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Stars45c500$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22381846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb1ad…011fbacked Stars47c489.36$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+56.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Hurricanes54c459.99$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5930657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Stars44c449$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.561,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Stars45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Stars45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stars12c442.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.451,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Hurricanes52c425.86$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.971,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Stars30c419.78$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hurricanes67c415$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9562951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Stars45c409.16$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.127651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90bd…ba9cbacked Stars46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…09bfbacked Stars46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Stars44c395.45$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1743348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe251…3575backed Hurricanes54c393$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9386…3a31backed Stars46c393$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Stars11c388$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.681,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2de5backed Stars46c385.57$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb731…4391backed Hurricanes55c381.82$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.82850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Stars44c343.46$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.553546.4%248 W · 287 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe36a…d049backed Stars45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfac5…9782backed Stars45c331.56$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.22781.5%22 W · 5 L+7.6wins+0.28per pick53cpaid+52.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Stars45c311.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14069142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.