NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9034ae995b2eed5ffd6ab75b35111afa800638493d65abe56e63874f82152ec

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Stars
Resolved: Jan 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $175,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $177,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,458 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x98f7…b3e4backed Hurricanes	36c	166,994$60,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106,920.65	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Stars	64c	80,000$51,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,200	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Stars	64c	27,981$17,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,907.71	388	44.6%173 W · 215 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars	64c	26,000$16,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,640	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Stars	64c	19,305$12,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,355.46	514	52.3%269 W · 245 L	+17.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Stars	64c	2,780$1,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,779.2	201	47.8%96 W · 105 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Stars	64c	2,323$1,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,486.72	221	50.2%111 W · 110 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Stars	64c	2,091$1,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,338	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Stars	65c	2,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	119	53.8%64 W · 55 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Stars	64c	1,952$1,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.51	1,679	54.4%914 W · 765 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Stars	64c	1,522$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.08	237	51.5%122 W · 115 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Stars	64c	1,291$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$826.1	1,143	50.8%581 W · 562 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Stars	64c	1,263$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808	145	53.1%77 W · 68 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Stars	65c	1,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	283	53%150 W · 133 L	+16.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars	65c	681$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.65	751	55.8%419 W · 332 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Stars	65c	553.74$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.16	164	63.4%104 W · 60 L	+18.5wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Stars	64c	500$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	129	47.3%61 W · 68 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Hurricanes	35c	445.12$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.33	360	38.6%139 W · 221 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Stars	64c	406.07$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.88	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Stars	64c	400$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	849	53.8%457 W · 392 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Stars	64c	330.81$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.72	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Stars	65c	291.75$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.64	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Stars	31c	287.24$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.72	167	38.9%65 W · 102 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Stars	70c	253.22$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.23	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Stars	64c	156.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Stars	65c	131$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.44	1,948	49.4%962 W · 986 L	+24.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Stars	65c	123.08$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	140	37.9%53 W · 87 L	-13.1wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Hurricanes	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	541	32.7%177 W · 364 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Stars	65c	77.94$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.71	479	44.7%214 W · 265 L	-25.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Stars	67c	69$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.23	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Stars	64c	65$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	160	48.1%77 W · 83 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Stars	64c	65$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	156	47.4%74 W · 82 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Stars	64c	60.94$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	196	52.6%103 W · 93 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Stars	64c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Stars	65c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	432	50.9%220 W · 212 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Stars	64c	46.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.75	352	48%169 W · 183 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Stars	64c	45$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	131	45.8%60 W · 71 L	-8.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Stars	64c	45$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	133	46.6%62 W · 71 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Stars	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	490	45.3%222 W · 268 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Hurricanes	33c	38$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.46	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stars	64c	35.71$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Stars	63c	33.51$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Stars	64c	32.79$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.99	1,140	51.5%587 W · 553 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed Stars	64c	28.69$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.36	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars	63c	27.03$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.03	1,230	53.7%661 W · 569 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea6a…3ee2backed Hurricanes	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	524	51%267 W · 257 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7871…77c6backed Stars	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Stars	64c	22.97$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Stars	64c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab7…180ebacked Stars	64c	15.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd925…3ab5backed Stars	65c	15.42$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
Stars vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
Stars vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
Stars vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event