NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22a3ddc1476678c0e8cd99e099dbe7464818a5b7d9bc9470f1358b8aa75cea99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 55c | 8,695$4,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.27 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 45c | 7,916$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,353.99 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 53c | 5,153$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…43eabacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…4b6abacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Under | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 2,639$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.68 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 2,499$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.45 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 1,875$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.1 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 1,724$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.55 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 1,351$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.75 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,208$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.78 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 589.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 547$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.85 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 52c | 324$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 55c | 200.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 161$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 45c | 159$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…eb96backed Under | 54c | 112.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 46c | 98.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 45c | 97.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…e8a3backed Under | 54c | 93.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac0…159dbacked Under | 52c | 93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 54c | 83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 177 | 54.2%96 W · 81 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 48c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…bc59backed Over | 46c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed Under | 55c | 47.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 48c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Over | 48c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda0…6d63backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 48c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 46c | 42.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 46c | 28.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…7fecbacked Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 54c | 26.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Over | 46c | 23.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Over | 49c | 22.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Stars vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Stars vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.