TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc36b…a540

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
566
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST31644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 316 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,454.21
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$4,054.07
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+77%+$131.14
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+45.9%+$1,743.27
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$307.12
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,489.69
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$143.85
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$79.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$171.54
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,462Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+131.1%+$1,916.84
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+67.8%+$515.12
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,977.34
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,534Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+133.5%+$4,718.74
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+87.2%+$467.24
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$933.54
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$544.15
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$440.31
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$339.47
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$644.83
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+414.8%+$316.84
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$960.73
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+173.3%+$299.63
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$358.36
Showing 25 of 316 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST9337.6%35 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,831.24
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$9,047.45
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,216.64
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,794Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+36.8%+$1,394.35
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$322.53
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.7%+$214.25
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.3%+$1,143.85
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+57.5%+$198.31
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,345.23
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$360.87
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$843.96
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,469Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+76.6%+$1,890.8
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,879.55
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11,368.17
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+54.8%+$1,828.55
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,730Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$3,308.36
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,442.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$349.06
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,757Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+45%+$1,689.99
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,368Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.8%+$1,976.32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+32.3%+$183.78
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,755Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,755.16
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$79.22
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,537Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.4%+$668.92
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,877Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.7%+$4,447.34
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST4438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.8%+$207.33
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$78.7
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+86.8%+$50.63
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team (BO3)backed Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$203.01
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$61.34
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+67.1%+$11.14
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$235.14
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+83.7%+$281.46
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+34.5%+$110.97
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+48.8%+$162.51
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+120%+$163.66
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$287.77
Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$679.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+229.3%+$1,104.59
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+151.1%+$792.46
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$764.89
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$539.86
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$82.68
Dota 2: Heroic vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$171.8
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$809.66
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$182.37
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$42.46
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$89.63
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$989.88
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2532%8 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Stars vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37.5%+$168.68
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+68.2%+$199.89
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$135.15
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$212.57
Blues vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+197%+$99.5
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$210.67
Islanders vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$158.35
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$78.38
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+267.5%+$397.39
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21.27
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+156.4%+$60.99
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$52.7
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$189
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.91
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$315.68
Ducks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.11
Flyers vs. Senatorsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.63
Red Wings vs. Islandersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.9
Blackhawks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$294.33
Kraken vs. Flyersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Predators vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+122.4%+$63.96
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.78
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.52
Jets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,507Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.7%+$613.62
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$275.62
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+106.8%+$730.86
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+82.1%+$610.34
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,327Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$5,327.09
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,177.37
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,474Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+161.2%+$2,375.87
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$57.7
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$96.79
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$115.8
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+167.9%+$157.89
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Thijs Boogaard vs Hugo Grenierbacked Boogaard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$194.79
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$59.79
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Michael Mmohbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+38.1%+$251.66
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,706Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+29.8%+$508.69
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$482.6
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.63
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$145.53
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+120.1%+$258.78
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$452.2
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+269.3%+$1,571.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$35.3
Louisville vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$176.31
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$401.35
Miami (OH) vs. Ohiobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
UMass vs. Akronbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17.9
Navy vs. North Texasbacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.19
Washington vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+70.5%+$14.47
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+81%+$69.49
Arizona vs. Houstonbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-64.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.22
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.93
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$240.24
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.16
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick18cpaid+197.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$37.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$67.95
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-10-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.15
250+ pump.fun graduated tokens on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+60.8%+$99.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.