TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yakult Brothersof Execration, Yakult Brothers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,098 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2418…66c8backed Yakult Brothers44c10,830$4,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,065.488253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe55a…dedabacked Execration54c5,500$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e64…b5d2backed Yakult Brothers46c5,500$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Yakult Brothers47c5,463$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.3625444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Execration41c3,687$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011557.4%66 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Execration1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yakult Brothers45c3,500$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.9912351.2%63 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Execration48c3,194$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.716050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Execration56c3,105$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.9927645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yakult Brothers71c3,002$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.576261.3%38 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Execration53c2,359$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.2911855.1%65 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Execration30c2,234$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.994438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Execration55c2,024$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.2216149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Execration32c2,018$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.6217950.3%90 W · 89 L+14.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Execration32c2,014$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.491,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Execration50c1,989$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00046451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Execration35c1,507$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.72,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yakult Brothers44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8403228.1%9 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yakult Brothers44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9939936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Execration29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yakult Brothers67c992.06$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4530138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Execration53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Execration55c936.36$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51526957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Execration30c923.32$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.993847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Execration54c896.93$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4808155.6%45 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Yakult Brothers60c789.98$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.098950.6%45 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Execration56c730$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.87047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yakult Brothers69c723.42$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.423557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Execration57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Yakult Brothers73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9312868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd0…b94cbacked Yakult Brothers65c612.57$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.692166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8f…092ebacked Execration41c600.33$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.561968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Execration55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33015653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yakult Brothers45c593.06$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.3960542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Yakult Brothers72c583.09$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.1310340.8%42 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed Execration55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Yakult Brothers65c510.41$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.121258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yakult Brothers44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2808037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Execration4c500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2150%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked Execration55c465.35$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2563855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Execration53c429.66$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7213346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b6…1765backed Execration38c400.71$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.979244.6%41 W · 51 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Execration55c360.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022453.1%119 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Execration33c353.4$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5636442.3%154 W · 210 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Yakult Brothers74c352.56$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.741060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yakult Brothers71c327.47$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.553852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Execration39c324.13$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2962841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed Yakult Brothers46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yakult Brothers70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712576%19 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Yakult Brothers70c285.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0135370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Yakult Brothers57c278.5$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.055538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Execration53c271.7$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Yakult Brothers45c242.03$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.713450.7%68 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Execration51c236.93$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019246.4%89 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Yakult Brothers47c231.91$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9110141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Yakult Brothers44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.277157.7%41 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb382…c498backed Yakult Brothers68c221.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.337159.2%42 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Execration55c218.93$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.416352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5c…aad0backed Yakult Brothers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Execration18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3637832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ea…6f62backed Execration55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Execration34c190$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.631545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x59e8…b8f7backed Yakult Brothers72c189.86$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.863461.8%21 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5da4…422bbacked Yakult Brothers73c186.22$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.062360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Execration55c182.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Execration55c182.09$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10141248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yakult Brothers57c181.22$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0614537.2%54 W · 91 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…56c0backed Execration12c171.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea7…8fd2backed Execration34c168.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.341258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+47.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed Execration57c167$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.191844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed Yakult Brothers72c160$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.83666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Yakult Brothers63c158.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.679478.7%74 W · 20 L+13.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yakult Brothers65c155$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2559250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Execration49c150.63$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.813925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Yakult Brothers68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0654445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked Yakult Brothers51c143.53$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5322538.7%87 W · 138 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Yakult Brothers70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8610659.4%63 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Execration35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028244%124 W · 158 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197b…7477backed Execration44c137.55$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.526633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c1…928cbacked Yakult Brothers45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.333461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Execration32c132.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.898560%51 W · 34 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b90…4ecabacked Execration60c131$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c4…b832backed Execration56c128.32$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.862763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Execration31c123.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.729838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Execration49c123.74$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.634257.1%24 W · 18 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yakult Brothers75c114.01$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.58160.5%49 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e74…d044backed Execration42c109.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.22462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Execration50c105$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x923b…4d79backed Execration56c101$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yakult Brothers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc533…89c1backed Yakult Brothers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Yakult Brothers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Execration51c99.81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.94748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yakult Brothers47c97.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.612751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Yakult Brothers63c97.33$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4421851.8%113 W · 105 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Execration55c90.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.867261.1%44 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8987645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fac…bdd8backed Yakult Brothers60c87.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9313456%75 W · 59 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x158f…09f1backed Execration59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Yakult Brothers47c84.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.531650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.