TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeea7…8fd2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$30.44
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.86
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.49
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$19.01
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.34
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$76.03
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+79.8%+$46.64
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.3
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.8%+$35.54
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+83.5%+$73.59
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$88.39
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$61.69
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+138.1%+$127.12
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Nets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$138.43
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$43.27
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68.51
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.85
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.42
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$38.29
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+63.7%+$144.44
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$62.9
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+312.9%+$161.26
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+143.9%+$30.15
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$29.07
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+186%+$92.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.44
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52.11
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO1)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$36.35
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO1)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.75
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs B8 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+156.4%+$135.83
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Astralis (BO1)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$113
Counter-Strike: NIP vs TYLOO (BO1)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+50.7%+$25.56
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$20.24
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.69
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: Alter Ego vs TrinitY - Map 2 Winnerbacked TrinitY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$17.42
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Valorant: Motiv Esports vs Alter Ego (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group Bbacked Alter Ego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+80%+$102.98
Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic - Map 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: SLT vs Gen.G Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$29.58
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3)backed ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+170.4%+$102.22
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$277.6
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female (BO5)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+57.4%+$111.4
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$119.75
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.93
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+59.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.99
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.86
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+148%+$48.13
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.77
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$56.75
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$113.78
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+176.3%+$255.53
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$189.44
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO1)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+69.9%+$34.23
LoL: Cloud9 vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$189.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+47.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$21.08
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.19
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$16.71
Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3)backed Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+281.5%+$129.17
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+150%+$54
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$38.67
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$72.38
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+205.4%+$225.9
Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$57.34
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+70%+$51.11
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-65%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$29.1
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$125.03
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30.08
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$107.76
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$212.16
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.6%+$72.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+98.6%+$69.62
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Tottenham vs. Fulham: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26.09
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$110.37
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$71.83
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$70.8
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$77.08
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$44.45
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$26.4
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$26.1
Spread: BYU (-5.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$31.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+203%+$52.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.