TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,974,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,415,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,974,030 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed 76ers14c920,218$132,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788,028.389745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed 76ers13c258,822$33,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225,175.4111137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed 76ers13c190,568$24,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165,794.059336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics40c179,309$71,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,963.1866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers13c177,825$22,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,240.262,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed 76ers12c175,135$21,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,989.9711737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers25c147,225$37,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,842.2985742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics66c89,770$59,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,507.871,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked 76ers12c75,776$9,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,682.8810930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Celtics5c66,842$3,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,342.0956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Celtics67c61,305$41,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,074.4915952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed 76ers11c56,115$6,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,881.293718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Celtics77c55,743$43,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,120.391,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed 76ers12c50,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,999.958750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed 76ers12c45,600$5,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,127.9829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed 76ers11c40,994$4,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,485.071,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Celtics35c40,116$13,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,988.566341.3%26 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Celtics18c31,001$5,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,675.5789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers6c30,128$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,320.551,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked 76ers43c28,401$12,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,128.6896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0327…1390backed 76ers12c27,715$3,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,389.181163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+63%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics53c24,082$12,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,738.131,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Celtics66c24,026$15,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,857.2113544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Celtics56c22,539$12,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,658.0617331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Celtics40c22,024$8,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,786.764825%12 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Celtics37c21,857$8,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,024.23179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Celtics6c21,589$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.871417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Celtics46c21,131$9,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,674.717243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers11c20,689$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,412.941,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Celtics65c20,051$12,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,987.6535650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed 76ers10c19,206$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,312.588154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed 76ers13c17,092$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,869.7615850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf90c…732cbacked Celtics66c15,707$10,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,366.661225%3 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked 76ers29c14,074$4,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,950.715352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96b1…da36backed 76ers10c13,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,150.012441.7%10 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick23cpaid+115.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed 76ers12c13,269$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,676.4518140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Celtics69c13,182$9,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,128.7617247.7%82 W · 90 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers12c13,000$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,464.084,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Celtics57c12,653$7,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,203.932,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked 76ers65c12,581$8,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,383.022878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x919e…d215backed 76ers12c12,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,999.972729.6%8 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics76c12,453$9,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,446.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Celtics66c12,000$7,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,919.8919033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked 76ers11c12,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,679.7343438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked 76ers43c11,953$5,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,838.1393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf981…520ebacked Celtics20c11,553$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed 76ers11c11,500$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,234.886641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers41c11,158$4,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,548.571,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked 76ers11c11,000$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,789.9323742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed 76ers11c10,988$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,779.0465939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed 76ers34c10,451$3,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,897.9310747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed 76ers9c10,197$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,252.735129.6%104 W · 247 L+1.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x938f…a768backed Celtics48c9,886$4,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,754.272650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbba9…f183backed 76ers20c9,388$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,554.532227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606e…1ec9backed Celtics54c9,312$5,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,050.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked 76ers44c9,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,04016547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked 76ers11c9,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,009.944445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed 76ers17c8,878$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,348.5222036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked 76ers12c8,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,333.3364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab7…24ecbacked 76ers59c8,214$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.2316065%104 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked 76ers13c8,195$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,129.623333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b5…b7b3backed 76ers28c7,895$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,682.253764.9%24 W · 13 L+7.1wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+58.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked 76ers12c7,893$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,946.139945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed 76ers53c7,850$4,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,663.928752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed 76ers12c7,783$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,849.2330157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53d6…b6e8backed 76ers60c7,777$4,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.81947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Celtics1c7,719$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.827211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x874f…a13dbacked 76ers39c7,691$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,678.681050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+55.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x604a…d5f8backed 76ers12c7,601$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,689.131435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+324.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 76ers63c7,456$4,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,782.841,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed 76ers14c7,445$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,406.192347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd870…9b36backed 76ers59c7,285$4,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,979.711080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+73.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked 76ers31c7,000$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,86512957.4%74 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed 76ers10c6,791$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,128.14434.1%15 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked 76ers12c6,778$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,968.1953539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Celtics73c6,254$4,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,584.9526444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Celtics78c6,207$4,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,839.0211239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91fd…be4ebacked 76ers25c6,079$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,562.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Celtics69c6,064$4,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,172.9225226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed 76ers11c6,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,34013148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c9…435fbacked 76ers23c6,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,650633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers12c5,873$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,167.921,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Celtics62c5,741$3,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,54814959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Celtics62c5,720$3,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5669350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked 76ers45c5,607$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,083.7114556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked 76ers45c5,557$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,080.429851%50 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Celtics3c5,443$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.585213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed 76ers12c5,432$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,779.8219048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Celtics51c5,342$2,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.069244.6%41 W · 51 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe289…ff0ebacked 76ers27c5,339$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,909.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics48c5,119$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed 76ers13c5,104$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,440.0820945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aab…c4ddbacked 76ers62c4,949$3,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.627839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked 76ers12c4,854$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.876240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa78d…7279backed Celtics52c4,787$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.833221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed 76ers53c4,653$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.181668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+47.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Celtics5c4,616$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.61,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a5…f586backed Celtics75c4,518$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.612330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c4…978fbacked 76ers11c4,444$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,955.14955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers19c4,398$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,542.691,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.