TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,156 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ce0…59d5backed Under0c38,524$39 inLost-$38.52128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-75.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Over63c348.93$220 inWon+$129.3211850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…5a74backed Over50c298.5$149 inWon+$149.257554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Over52c224.12$117 inWon+$107.581258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under50c192.56$96 inLost-$96.2820146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Under49c189.61$93 inLost-$92.913542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under45c171.18$77 inLost-$77.2961638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under47c116.2$55 inLost-$54.8159743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Under46c105.55$48 inLost-$48.3818842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under17c89.89$15 inLost-$15.3517946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c74.99$36 inLost-$35.9936749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over55c69.57$38 inWon+$31.3162047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over51c51.82$26 inWon+$25.391,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf2…8bf0backed Under49c49.46$24 inLost-$24.245947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c48.68$27 inLost-$27.263,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over50c48.5$24 inWon+$24.2534247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under50c38.8$19 inLost-$19.414844.6%66 W · 82 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Over62c33.1$21 inWon+$12.585259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Over54c30$16 inWon+$13.826957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over55c30$16 inWon+$13.623741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over48c28.06$14 inWon+$14.4787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d6…7999backed Under49c27.99$14 inLost-$13.712152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under50c21.69$11 inLost-$10.8440546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.