TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
76ersof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,922 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics40c3,000$1,200 inLost-$1,2001,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed 76ers60c2,928$1,757 inWon+$1,171.219954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked 76ers74c219.16$161 inWon+$57.891,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 76ers72c213.81$155 inWon+$59.181,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf266…b2c4backed Celtics27c204.9$56 inLost-$55.531618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Celtics35c200$70 inLost-$702,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked 76ers53c197.02$104 inWon+$92.8637930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed 76ers65c193.12$125 inWon+$68.084953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Celtics43c183.95$78 inLost-$78.2689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Celtics26c145.08$37 inLost-$37.265736.8%21 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a51…f873backed 76ers64c136.99$88 inWon+$48.921540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Celtics47c91.98$43 inLost-$43.232,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ffa…6822backed Celtics39c61.82$24 inLost-$24.112445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Celtics49c48.47$24 inLost-$23.7511850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed 76ers55c35.33$19 inWon+$15.92564%16 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Celtics40c29.16$12 inLost-$11.6761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed 76ers61c27.34$17 inWon+$10.6615562.6%97 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.