NBA · resolved market
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2150c31e6baf9482c977caba5e6306f3e730c0234a17759f10d3924ad0e93fa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Yes | 54c | 898.91$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.23 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 46c | 568.01$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.71 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked No | 43c | 482.75$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.58 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 47c | 474.53$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 54c | 453.14$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.69 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…57febacked Yes | 54c | 402.02$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.09 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 45c | 388.61$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Yes | 55c | 266.35$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.93 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed No | 44c | 252.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.56 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff8…a9c1backed No | 54c | 224.18$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed No | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 46c | 186.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…7bfebacked Yes | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +92%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 53c | 136.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…e8afbacked Yes | 53c | 100.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked No | 47c | 88.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Yes | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Yes | 52c | 83.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Yes | 52c | 83.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 47c | 74.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…824abacked Yes | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 46c | 69.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3d27backed No | 53c | 68.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Yes | 54c | 54.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 53c | 49.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 50c | 47.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 47c | 38.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…544bbacked No | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cd…1790backed Yes | 62c | 23.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 52c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfea…dc29backed Yes | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Yes | 60c | 19.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 209.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 210.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.