TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,858 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xedf7…8f79backed No50c993.23$500 inWon+$493.231,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e9…3614backed Yes50c465.2$233 inLost-$232.64050%20 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No50c300$151 inWon+$14956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes50c199.79$101 inLost-$100.7278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes48c193.76$93 inLost-$931,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes53c182.41$97 inLost-$97.217758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Yes46c143.88$66 inLost-$66.194553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Yes50c53.35$27 inLost-$26.6814649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2299…d003backed No63c46.56$29 inWon+$17.23757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes50c38.8$19 inLost-$19.444747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes51c38.32$19 inLost-$19.4166046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Yes55c37.95$21 inLost-$20.874763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed No49c37.56$18 inWon+$19.1431748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked Yes53c36.71$19 inLost-$19.446547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8f4…695cbacked No50c29.21$14 inWon+$14.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Yes50c28$14 inLost-$149947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes51c22.59$12 inLost-$11.5233556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost-$1062047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.